DAILY PACE CARD
Selections — Results
Every pick from the day's selections sheet, settled against the official results.
Monday, October 19, 2026 · 16 picks · All times ET
⭐ BEST BET OF THE DAY
12:40 PM ET · Parx · Race 1
#2 Rhee Wall ★ 9/22ND · PLACE
1m70yds · Dirt · Claiming 7500n2L
Trainer: Miguel Penaloza · Jockey: Jean Aguilar
Placed — paid $2.60 to place ($2). Won by #7 Always in Play
Named sheet edge: leads the blended late graph by a clear margin (LP rank 1, 78%, 10 points clear of the next horse, raw LP 86) for Miguel Penaloza/Jean Aguilar — a P type who sits behind the Blame Eve/Always in Play early contest in this Parx route and owns the finishing figure; the clear-margin late lead at a price is the strongest sheet-vs-market disagreement on the card.
The price: 9/2 fourth choice; the 3/1 favorite Blame Eve was passed for lacking a named edge — she leads the early graph only (LP rank 2) and is pressed by Always in Play (E1 92%). The market prices the speed; the sheet's clear late leader goes off three points longer — that disagreement is the point of the pick, and it is the day's Best Bet.
NEXT BEST
6:39 PM ET · Presque Isle Downs · Race 8
#5 Nan O'Hara ★ 3/1🏆 WIN
1m70yds · Synthetic · Claiming 6250n3L
Trainer: Michelle C Brafford · Jockey: Scott Spieth
Paid $5.00 to win ($2)
Named sheet edge: leads the blended late graph by a clear margin (LP rank 1, 92%, 15 points clear of the next horses) for Michelle C Brafford/Scott Spieth — a P type who lets Big Lous Messenger and Foggy Bar Blues go early and finishes best in a synthetic route where closers are winning 43% lately; the clear-margin LP tilt is exactly the separator this race offers.
The price: 3/1 second choice; the 5/2 favorite Big Lous Messenger was passed — he shares only second on the late graph (77%) and his edge is early-only in a closer-friendly route trend. The sheet's clear late leader is priced longer than the favorite — that disagreement is the point of the pick.
FEATURED PLAY
4:16 PM ET · Parx · Race 9
#6 Sincerito ★ 4/12ND · PLACE
1m70yds · Dirt · Claiming 7500n4L
Trainer: Carlos E Caban · Jockey: Angel Castillo
Placed — paid $5.80 to place ($2). Won by #1 Docsgotallthecandy
Named sheet edge: leads the blended late graph (LP rank 1, 88%) for Carlos E Caban/Angel Castillo in the day's free race — by 9 points, a marginal gap that is not itself the separator. What carries the pick: his raw late figure (86), the strongest among the off-pace runners, plus the route setup — Docsgotallthecandy (E1 91%) and What It Tiz press early with River's Gamble and Carry Grant, so the early pace is contested in this 1m70y route and the S closer's finishing figure is the one the setup falls to when the speed tires.
The price: 4/1 second choice; the 7/2 favorite Fully Committed was passed for lacking a named edge — he is second on the late graph (79%) with an S style and no pace-scenario claim. No rival separates further on the late graph than the pick; the sheet's late leader at a working price is the play in the free race. No horse in this field leads the late graph by 10+ points — the field had no clear-margin qualifier, so the pick is carried by the finishing figure and the route pace setup, not the blended margin.
📋 The Cheat Sheet — Settled