DAILY PACE CARD

Selections — Results

Every pick from the day's selections sheet, settled against the official results.

Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 80 picks · All times ET

Page built October 21, 2026 · 11:37 PM ET — if this stamp looks old, refresh the page.

PICK LEGS SETTLED

WINNERS

16-15-15

WIN-PLACE-SHOW

$146

$2 WIN BETS

$110.28

RETURNED

-24.5%

ROI

Races settled: 41 of 41 — two $2 win picks per race, one for each of the two most likely pace scenarios.

2 race(s) filed one pick only — the second scenario fell below the likelihood floor (v2.2); the single leg counts with the most likely scenario picks.

Most likely scenario picks: 39 settled · 8 winners · $78 win bets → $45.34 · ROI -41.9%

Second scenario picks: 34 settled · 8 winners · $68 win bets → $64.94 · ROI -4.5%

Winner was one of the pair: 16 of 41 races.

Played through the backups: 79 settled · 16 winners · W-P-S 16-17-16 · $158 win bets → $110.28 · ROI -30.2%

⭐ BEST BET OF THE DAY

6:43 PM ET · Penn National · Race 3

5½ Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming 4000n1y

IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (65%)

#1 Genghis ★ 5/1OUT

Trainer: Timothy C Kreiser · Jockey: Jaime Rodriguez

Won by #8 Sassy Lad — paid $36.40

Genghis leads the blended late graph by a clear 15 points (79) with the field's best raw late figure (#1) for Timothy C Kreiser/Jaime Rodriguez — a clear-margin leader at a price, against a favorite whose raw late figure is 0.

The price: 5/1, co-second choice — the 3/1 favorite Natural Harbor was passed: his late graph is built on a 0 raw figure and he has no named edge, while the sheet's clear late leader is priced at 5/1.

IF THE PACE COLLAPSES (35%)

#5 Ira the Icon ★ 8/1OUT

Trainer: Erin C McClellan · Jockey: Jorge L Burgos

Won by #8 Sassy Lad — paid $36.40

Ira the Icon owns the second-best raw late figure among the closers (88) for Erin C McClellan/Jorge L Burgos; the collapse has genuine duel support — three E horses at 65+ early (Aaraj, Natural Harbor, Aquitania Arrival) — and the scenario's first choice, Genghis, is filed in the other slot.

The price: 8/1 — priced down the list on an E style label, but his early figure (28) says he sits, and his raw finish is the collapse picture's second-best.

Official chart

NEXT BEST

9:00 PM ET · Albuquerque · Race 8

6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming $12,500

IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (55%)

#7 Truth Seeker 5/2OUT

Trainer: Rafael S Barraza · Jockey: Aldo Arboleda

Won by #4 Golden Greek — paid $13.60

Truth Seeker leads the blended late graph by a clear margin — 100, 23 points clear — with the field's best raw late figure (#1) for Rafael S Barraza/Aldo Arboleda, closing into a pressured sprint where early speed wins often but the speed here (Competitive Idea, Where's the Loot) must go together.

The price: 5/2 favorite — priced shortest on the clear late-graph lead; the gap to 7/2 Golden Greek understates a 23-point late margin.

IF THE PACE IS CONTROLLED (45%)

#5 Competitive Idea ★ 9/22ND · PLACE

Trainer: Dick Cappellucci · Jockey: Miguel A Perez

Placed — paid $4.40 to place ($2). Won by #4 Golden Greek

Competitive Idea leads the early graph (91) and is third on the blended late graph (73) with an 88 raw late figure for Dick Cappellucci/Miguel A Perez — if the front is controlled, he is the forward horse with a finish.

The price: 9/2, fourth choice — priced behind the closers because his style is read as pure speed, but his raw late figure says he can finish a controlled race.

Official chart

FEATURED PLAY

11:14 PM ET · Remington Park · Race 9

7 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance 39000n1x

IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (60%)

#6 Perfect Audible 5/23RD · SHOW

Trainer: Steven M Asmussen · Jockey: Erik Asmussen

Showed — paid $2.60 to show ($2). Won by #8 Canned Heat

Perfect Audible leads the blended late graph by a clear 27 points (96) with a 90 raw late figure for Steven M Asmussen/Erik Asmussen — the clearest sheet horse at Remington tonight, an S behind three E's with no finish.

The price: 5/2 favorite — priced shortest on the late-graph rout; the 27-point margin is the widest on the whole card.

IF THE PACE IS CONTROLLED (40%)

#8 Canned Heat ★ 9/2🏆 WIN

Trainer: Jesse Oberlander · Jockey: Richard E Eramia

Paid $6.40 to win ($2)

Canned Heat owns the best blended late figure (66) among the forward group as an E/P presser for Jesse Oberlander/Richard E Eramia; if the pace is controlled, he is the forward horse who can finish it.

The price: 9/2 second choice — priced right behind the favorite; his controlled-scenario case is early position plus the forward group's best finish.

Official chart

📋 The Cheat Sheet — Settled

POST	TRACK	RACE	SELECTION	ML	RESULT	CHART
12:43 PM	Mahoning Valley	R2	If the pace stays honest (70%): #3 Kukuk ★ Official chart	5/2	PLACE	Official chart
12:55 PM	Finger Lakes	R1	If the pace is controlled (60%): #2 Khali's Dream If the pace stays honest (40%): #5 Hunters Ghost ★ Official chart	8/5 5/2	PLACE WIN $8.30	Official chart
1:10 PM	Belmont Park	R1	If the pace is controlled (70%): #1 Midnight Rocket Official chart	4/5	WIN $3.64	Official chart
1:32 PM	Keeneland	R2	If the pace stays honest (60%): #5 Miami Frank If the pace is controlled (40%): #3 Aerate ★ Official chart	5/2 6/1	SHOW OUT	Official chart
2:07 PM	Mahoning Valley	R5	If the pace stays honest (50%): #1 Game Maker ★ If the pace is controlled (50%): #9 Secreto Uno ★ Official chart	8/1 5/1	PEND SHOW	Official chart
2:22 PM	Finger Lakes	R4	If the pace stays honest (55%): #5 Action Seeker If the pace is controlled (45%): #4 Street Cop Officer ★ Official chart	2/1 5/2	PLACE WIN $5.84	Official chart
2:28 PM	Parx	R5	If the pace is controlled (65%): #1 Cowboy Mike If the pace stays honest (35%): #3 Recker Point ★ Official chart	2/1 7/2	WIN $8.60 SHOW	Official chart
2:35 PM	Mahoning Valley	R6	If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Colonel Vargo If the pace collapses (40%): #6 Master Game ★ Official chart	8/5 5/2	PEND OUT	Official chart
2:36 PM	Keeneland	R4	If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Proprietary Trade If the pace is controlled (40%): #9 Five o' Somewhere ★ Official chart	5/2 4/1	WIN $12.60 SHOW	Official chart
2:51 PM	Finger Lakes	R5	If the pace stays honest (55%): #6 Follow Your Arrow If the pace collapses (45%): #7 Book of Wisdom ★ Official chart	5/2 4/1	WIN $4.64 SHOW	Official chart
2:55 PM	Parx	R6	If the pace stays honest (60%): #2 Tariba Dream If the pace collapses (40%): #8 I Can Run ★ Official chart	5/2 9/2	SHOW OUT	Official chart
3:03 PM	Mahoning Valley	R7	If the pace stays honest (65%): #2 Ryka If the pace collapses (35%): #7 Vertisalute ★ Official chart	2/1 15/1	PLACE SHOW	Official chart
3:20 PM	Finger Lakes	R6	If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Jayme's Turn If the pace collapses (40%): #2 Going for Glory ★ Official chart	2/1 4/1	PLACE PEND	Official chart
3:22 PM	Parx	R7	If the pace stays honest (55%): #1 Quetzal Island ★ If the pace is controlled (45%): #7 Point Barrow Official chart	3/1 5/2	SHOW OUT	Official chart
3:23 PM	Belmont Park	R5	If the pace is controlled (60%): #5 Joker On Fire If the pace stays honest (40%): #6 Rhyton ★ Official chart	9/5 7/2	PLACE SHOW	Official chart
3:49 PM	Parx	R8	If the pace stays honest (55%): #8 Tiz Purple If the pace collapses (45%): #2 Bellanova ★ Official chart	7/2 9/2	OUT SHOW	Official chart
3:57 PM	Belmont Park	R6	If the pace stays honest (65%): #3 I'm Worthy If the pace is controlled (35%): #1 Corvus ★ Official chart	1/2 8/1	WIN $3.66 OUT	Official chart
4:12 PM	Keeneland	R7	If the pace stays honest (55%): #11 Bourbon Flight ★ If the pace is controlled (45%): #4 Pagode Official chart	7/2 5/2	OUT OUT	Official chart
4:16 PM	Parx	R9	If the pace stays honest (55%): #10 Jackson Road If the pace collapses (45%): #8 Great Escape ★ Official chart	7/2 6/1	OUT OUT	Official chart
4:19 PM	Horseshoe Indianapolis	R5	If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Start the Disco If the pace is controlled (40%): #5 Bermuda ★ Official chart	2/1 5/2	WIN $5.00 PEND	Official chart
4:31 PM	Belmont Park	R7	If the pace stays honest (55%): #8 Aperitif If the pace is controlled (45%): #5 Denver's Alley ★ Official chart	5/2 6/1	SHOW OUT	Official chart
4:51 PM	Presque Isle Downs	R4	If the pace stays honest (55%): #2 Fridayswithmurray If the pace is controlled (45%): #3 Twist 'n Twirl ★ Official chart	3/1 9/2	OUT PEND	Official chart
4:53 PM	Horseshoe Indianapolis	R6	If the pace stays honest (55%): #3 Justhappytobehere If the pace is controlled (45%): #12 St. Armands Key ★ Official chart	4/1 4/1	SHOW PEND	Official chart
5:45 PM	Presque Isle Downs	R6	If the pace stays honest (55%): #3 Verbal Geyser ★ If the pace is controlled (45%): #6 Night Nurse Official chart	3/1 2/1	OUT PLACE	Official chart
7:04 PM	Delta Downs	R4	If the pace stays honest (55%): #3 Vineaux If the pace is controlled (45%): #1 My Special Star ★ Official chart	5/2 7/2	PLACE WIN $27.20	Official chart
6:14 PM	Penn National	R2	If the pace is controlled (55%): #4 Frosty the Giant If the pace stays honest (45%): #6 Mad Banker ★ Official chart	3/1 7/2	SHOW WIN $4.80	Official chart
6:43 PM	Penn National	R3	If the pace stays honest (65%): #1 Genghis ★ If the pace collapses (35%): #5 Ira the Icon ★ Official chart	5/1 8/1	OUT OUT	Official chart
7:58 PM	Remington Park	R2	If the pace stays honest (55%): #7 Rango ★ If the pace is controlled (45%): #3 Lebowski Official chart	7/2 5/2	OUT WIN $2.40	Official chart
7:00 PM	Charles Town	R1	If the pace is controlled (55%): #5 Municipal If the pace stays honest (45%): #3 Hamdoun ★ Official chart	7/5 5/2	WIN $3.80 PLACE	Official chart
8:00 PM	Delta Downs	R6	If the pace stays honest (55%): #11 Littlebitofaqueen ★ If the pace is controlled (45%): #7 I Love Mango's ★ Official chart	3/1 7/2	OUT WIN $5.60	Official chart
7:12 PM	Penn National	R4	If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Hands Up Style If the pace is controlled (40%): #1 My Box of Light ★ Official chart	2/1 5/1	SHOW PEND	Official chart
7:45 PM	Albuquerque	R5	If the pace is controlled (60%): #1 Mr. Biz If the pace stays honest (40%): #3 Tapitboy ★ Official chart	5/2 9/2	OUT OUT	Official chart
8:56 PM	Delta Downs	R8	If the pace is controlled (55%): #5 Kathleen's Ace If the pace stays honest (45%): #3 Awesugarsugar ★ Official chart	3/1 4/1	PLACE OUT	Official chart
8:25 PM	Charles Town	R4	If the pace stays honest (55%): #1 Smoked Peach ★ If the pace is controlled (45%): #7 Rare Ruby ★ Official chart	3/1 6/1	PLACE OUT	Official chart
8:35 PM	Albuquerque	R7	If the pace is controlled (65%): #9 La Vikina ★ If the pace stays honest (35%): #2 In Spite of It Official chart	7/2 5/2	OUT WIN $4.40	Official chart
8:39 PM	Penn National	R7	If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Clearly Copper If the pace is controlled (40%): #5 Desi's Reward ★ Official chart	3/1 5/1	WIN $3.40 OUT	Official chart
9:50 PM	Remington Park	R6	If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Sand Creek ★ If the pace collapses (40%): #1 Algebra ★ Official chart	7/2 5/1	PLACE OUT	Official chart
9:00 PM	Albuquerque	R8	If the pace stays honest (55%): #7 Truth Seeker If the pace is controlled (45%): #5 Competitive Idea ★ Official chart	5/2 9/2	OUT PLACE	Official chart
10:18 PM	Remington Park	R7	If the pace stays honest (60%): #8 Chivalrous If the pace is controlled (40%): #3 Caribbean Dream ★ Official chart	5/2 4/1	PLACE OUT	Official chart
9:49 PM	Charles Town	R7	If the pace stays honest (55%): #3 Restless ★ If the pace is controlled (45%): #7 Hey Boots ★ Official chart	2/1 9/2	PLACE OUT	Official chart
11:14 PM	Remington Park	R9	If the pace stays honest (60%): #6 Perfect Audible If the pace is controlled (40%): #8 Canned Heat ★ Official chart	5/2 9/2	SHOW WIN $6.40	Official chart

★ = the pick was not the morning-line favorite.
PEND — the pick was scratched in the official chart, so the play is a refund. It is not a result still missing.
Payouts are the official $2 payoffs. Full race-by-race results with WIN/PLACE/SHOW banners: see the Results Archive.
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The picks, the pace sheets, and the podcast are all produced by AI. Rankings follow the morning line.