DAILY PACE CARD
Selections — Results
Every pick from the day's selections sheet, settled against the official results.
Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 37 picks · All times ET
Page built October 25, 2026 · 8:05 PM ET — if this stamp looks old, refresh the page.
Races settled: 22 of 34 — two $2 win picks per race, one for each of the two most likely pace scenarios.
31 race(s) filed one pick only — the second scenario fell below the likelihood floor (v2.2); the single leg counts with the most likely scenario picks.
Most likely scenario picks: 22 settled · 11 winners · $44 win bets → $57.78 · ROI +31.3%
Second scenario picks: 1 settled · 1 winners · $2 win bets → $6.40 · ROI +220.0%
Winner was one of the pair: 11 of 23 races.
Counter-move legs (v2.9 §16): 3 settled · 0 winners · $6 win bets → $0.00 · ROI -100.0% — counted in the scorecard above.
In the money: 20 of 26 pick legs (77%) finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd.
The 12 winners paid an average of $5.35 on a $2 win ticket.
Across the board: $2 win-place-show on every pick — $138 → $162.28 · ROI +17.6%.
Scratches: 1 pick(s) were scratched in the official chart. Those legs settle on the filed backup shown under each pick — the pick that would have been filed had the scratches been known — and the scorecard above counts them.
As filed (before scratches): 25 settled · 11 winners · $50 win bets → $57.78 · ROI +15.6%
⭐ BEST BET OF THE DAY
3:22 PM ET · Laurel Park · Race 8
5½ Furlongs · Turf · ROC 1-65
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (60%)
#9 War Humor 3/1SCRATCHED — REFUND
Trainer: W. Robert Bailes · Jockey: Paco Lopez
War Humor is the morning-line favorite and holds a named sheet edge — a top-2 late figure (66 blended late) for W. Robert Bailes/Paco Lopez; the honest scenario is the race the favorite's finish fits
The price: 3/1 favorite, clear of the 7/2 second choice Normandy Hero — priced shortest on the market's read; the sheet's late leader is Normandy Hero (76), so the price leans on the favorite's other edges
IF THE PACE IS CONTROLLED (40%)
#3 Normandy Hero ★ 7/2🏆 WIN
Trainer: Jamie Ness · Jockey: Jaime Rodriguez
Paid $6.40 to win ($2)
Normandy Hero is the controlling speed — fastest early (97) with a finish to back it up (blended late 76, late rank 1) for Jamie Ness/Jaime Rodriguez; if the pace is controlled, this is the horse doing the controlling — and it carries a profile edge: leads both graphs
The price: 7/2 — priced behind the 3/1 favorite War Humor; the favorite was passed for lacking a named edge — the sheet's late graph belongs to this horse (76 vs the favorite's 66)
NEXT BEST
8:05 PM ET · Santa Anita · Race 9
1 Mile · Turf · AtmnMiss-G3
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (70%)
#3 Memorized ★ 6/1RESULT PENDING
Trainer: Peter Eurton · Jockey: Juan J Hernandez
Memorized is the morning-line favorite among the survivors (6/1) for Peter Eurton/Juan J Hernandez, with form evidence — a good last race and a clean form screen from the day's gate file; the filed pick Somerset West and its filed backup Green Carrera both scratched, and in the twice-reshaped field no non-favorite holds both slot-1 qualifications — the reshaped blended late graph tops in a 47–47 tie with no clear margin — so the slot files the reshaped favorite under the standing favorite rules
The price: 6/1 favorite among the survivors, clear of the 8/1 second choices Cortina d'Amprezzo and Ramayana — priced shortest in the reshaped field after the 2/1 favorite and the 5/2 second choice both scratched
FEATURED PLAY
ET · Belmont Park · Race 8
7 Furlongs · Turf · GlenCve-G3
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (70%)
#5 Lion Lake 8/5🏆 WIN
Trainer: Brendan P Walsh · Jockey: Manuel Franco
Paid $4.04 to win ($2)
Lion Lake leads the blended late graph by a clear margin — 92, 36 points clear — with clear-margin late-graph lead for Brendan P Walsh/Manuel Franco; under an honest pace the late graph is the separator
The price: 8/5 favorite, clear of the 9/2 second choice Life's Dynamic — priced shortest on the market's read and the sheet's late graph (92) backs the price
📋 The Cheat Sheet — Settled
| POST | TRACK | RACE | SELECTION | ML | RESULT | CHART |
|---|
| 12:32 PM | Laurel Park | R2 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #2 No More Calls | 6/5 | OUT | Official chart |
| 12:58 PM | Laurel Park | R3 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #5 Reckless | 2/1 | OUT | Official chart |
| 4:00 PM | Santa Anita | R1 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #2 Beyond Stoked | 9/5 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 1:07 PM | Parx | R2 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #1 Imperial Spy | 2/1 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 1:10 PM | Belmont Park | R1 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #2 Kayla's Komet | 7/5 | WIN $5.00 | Official chart |
| 1:36 PM | Laurel Park | R4 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #6 Ice Shot | 8/5 | OUT | Official chart |
| 2:16 PM | Belmont Park | R3 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #4 Lady Rose | 9/5 | WIN $4.04 | Official chart |
| 2:23 PM | Laurel Park | R6 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #9 Citrine | 3/2 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 2:28 PM | Parx | R5 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #6 King Barou ★ | 5/1 | WIN $5.60 | Official chart |
| 5:33 PM | Santa Anita | R4 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #7 Dealers Special | 7/5 | OUT | Official chart |
| 3:08 PM | Keeneland | R5 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #5 Vitruvian Man Counter-move (§16): #3 Gallo de Fuego | 7/2
9/2 | PEND
PEND | |
| 3:15 PM | Parx | R6 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #4 Paterno Counter-move (§16): #3 Gatsby | 5/2
3/1 | WIN $8.00
OUT | Official chart |
| 3:22 PM | Laurel Park | R8 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #9 War Humor If the pace is controlled (40%): #3 Normandy Hero ★ | 3/1
7/2 | WIN $6.40
WIN $6.40 | Official chart |
| 3:42 PM | Parx | R7 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #7 Geostoblame Counter-move (§16): #2 Tug | 5/2
7/2 | SHOW
PLACE | Official chart |
| 3:51 PM | Laurel Park | R9 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #5 Zero Blitz | 8/5 | SHOW | Official chart |
| 3:57 PM | Belmont Park | R6 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #6 Mo for the King | 6/5 | WIN $5.46 | Official chart |
| 4:29 PM | Parx | R8 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #3 Divine Seeker | 2/1 | WIN $2.40 | Official chart |
| 4:31 PM | Belmont Park | R7 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #3 Material Girl Counter-move (§16): #4 Liberty's Secret | 2/1
5/2 | WIN $5.12
PLACE | Official chart |
| 4:44 PM | Keeneland | R8 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #8 Stars and Stripes Counter-move (§16): #1 Hit Show | 3/1
4/1 | PEND
PEND | |
| 4:55 PM | Churchill Downs | R9 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #2 Wharfie | 9/5 | WIN $5.40 | Official chart |
| 4:56 PM | Parx | R9 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #6 Bloody Colors Wave ★ | 7/2 | PEND | Official chart |
| 8:05 PM | Santa Anita | R9 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #3 Memorized ★ | 6/1 | PEND | |
| 5:16 PM | Keeneland | R9 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #5 Sister Troienne | 6/5 | PEND | |
| 5:25 PM | Churchill Downs | R10 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #4 Mystik Bayou | 9/5 | SHOW | Official chart |
| 7:41 PM | Penn National | R5 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #2 Mister Me | 3/1 | PEND | |
| 8:15 PM | Mountaineer | R4 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #4 Article | 2/1 | PEND | |
| 8:39 PM | Penn National | R7 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #5 My Last Mission Counter-move (§16): #4 Tactical Humor | 2/1
4/1 | PEND
PEND | |
| 8:40 PM | Mountaineer | R5 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #7 Save the Flag ★ | 3/1 | PEND | |
| 9:55 PM | Mountaineer | R8 | If the pace stays honest (55%): #3 Latin Spice If the pace is controlled (45%): #10 Ambulante ★ | 2/1
3/1 | PEND
PEND | |
| Belmont Park | R5 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #4 Ground Support | 3/1 | WIN $6.32 | Official chart |
| Belmont Park | R8 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #5 Lion Lake | 8/5 | WIN $4.04 | Official chart |
| Belmont Park | R11 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Midnight Concerto If the pace is controlled (40%): #7 Being Betty ★ Counter-move (§16): #9 Gallant Greta | 3/1
7/2
4/1 | PEND
PEND
PEND | |
| Laurel Park | R12 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #6 On a Proud Note Counter-move (§16): #4 Yes Picnic | 7/2
4/1 | PEND
PEND | |
| Santa Anita | R7 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #2 Amorita | 7/5 | OUT | Official chart |