DAILY PACE CARD
Selections — Results
Every pick from the day's selections sheet, settled against the official results.
Monday, October 26, 2026 · 19 picks · All times ET
Page built October 26, 2026 · 11:43 PM ET — if this stamp looks old, refresh the page.
Races settled: 18 of 18 — two $2 win picks per race, one for each of the two most likely pace scenarios.
17 race(s) filed one pick only — the second scenario fell below the likelihood floor (v2.2); the single leg counts with the most likely scenario picks.
Most likely scenario picks: 18 settled · 5 winners · $36 win bets → $22.58 · ROI -37.3%
Second scenario picks: 1 settled · 0 winners · $2 win bets → $0.00 · ROI -100.0%
Winner was one of the pair: 5 of 18 races.
Counter-move legs (v2.9 §16): 7 settled · 1 winners · $14 win bets → $8.04 · ROI -42.6% — counted in the scorecard above.
Pace-price legs (v3.0 §19): 7 settled · 2 winners · $14 win bets → $14.20 · ROI +1.4% — counted in the scorecard above. 1 pace-price leg(s) scratched — refunded (a pace-price leg has no backup).
Pace-price tags (memo — these legs are counted in their pair/counter lines above, not added again): 2 legs · 0 winners · $4 win bets → $0.00 · ROI -100.0%
In the money: 23 of 33 pick legs (70%) finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd.
The 8 winners paid an average of $5.60 on a $2 win ticket.
Across the board: $2 win-place-show on every pick — $114 → $87.38 · ROI -23.4%.
Scratches: 1 pick(s) were scratched in the official chart. Those legs settle on the filed backup shown under each pick — the pick that would have been filed had the scratches been known — and the scorecard above counts them.
As filed (before scratches): 32 settled · 8 winners · $64 win bets → $44.82 · ROI -30.0%
⭐ BEST BET OF THE DAY
3:31 PM ET · Mahoning Valley · Race 8
1 Mile · Dirt · Allowance 33700n2L
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (70%)
#5 Lightning Speed 7/2OUT
Trainer: Timothy E Hamm · Jockey: Laureano Sosa
Won by #1 Pure Grinding — paid $21.20
Lightning Speed leads the blended late graph with a clear-margin late lead of 16 — 96, 16 points clear — with clear-margin late-graph lead for Timothy E Hamm/Laureano Sosa; under an honest pace the late graph is the separator
The price: 7/2 favorite, clear of the 4/1 second choice Jolly Mon — priced shortest on the market's read and the sheet's late graph (96) backs the price
COUNTER-MOVE (V2.9 §16)
#4 Jolly Mon 4/12ND · PLACE
Placed — paid $5.40 to place ($2). Won by #1 Pure Grinding
Counter-move (v2.9 section 16): Jolly Mon is the frozen formula's top non-favorite in a marked race with no strong favorite - OUR weight 110 lb, finished 2/6 last out - filed as an extra leg alongside the pair.
NEXT BEST
ET · Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5
1 Mile · Turf · Allowance 40000n2x
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (70%)
#1 Pink Picture 5/1OUT
Trainer: Rogelio Labra · Jockey: Evin A Roman
Won by #8 Sweet Heat — paid $9.00
Pink Picture files as slot 1 under the section 14A fallback - no non-favorite held a clear-margin late lead with a profile edge (the late leader Lilmorecraken's margin is 5) - and the favorite is third on the blended late graph (76) with a good last race and a clean form screen for Rogelio Labra/Evin A Roman; under an honest pace the favorite's finish is live in a field with no strong favorite
The price: 5/1 favorite, clear of the 6/1 second choice Innisfree Lass — priced shortest on the market's read; the sheet's late leader is Lilmorecraken (84), so the price leans on the favorite's other edges
📋 The Cheat Sheet — Settled
| POST | TRACK | RACE | SELECTION | ML | RESULT | CHART |
|---|
| 12:15 PM | Mahoning Valley | R1 | If the pace stays honest (55%): #3 Runaway Power If the pace is controlled (45%): #1 Dream Police ★ PACE-PRICE | 2/1
3/1 | SHOW
OUT | Official chart |
| 1:07 PM | Parx | R2 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #2 Shadyside If the pace stays honest (70%): #4 Shetalkstomuch | 8/5
5/2 | PLACE
SHOW | Official chart |
| 1:11 PM | Mahoning Valley | R3 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #5 Lady Fortune If the pace stays honest (70%): #6 Flashy N | 2/1
5/2 | WIN $3.80
PLACE | Official chart |
| 2:01 PM | Parx | R4 | If the pace is controlled (70%): #5 Bonafide Counter-move (§16): #4 Shallus | 2/1
3/1 | WIN $2.80
SHOW | Official chart |
| 2:07 PM | Mahoning Valley | R5 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #7 Quick Rendezvous Counter-move (§16): #6 Angel I'm Not | 3/1
7/2 | WIN $8.40
SHOW | Official chart |
| 2:10 PM | Horseshoe Indianapolis | R1 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #1 My Bossy Lady Counter-move (§16): #2 Dreaming Smart | 3/1
7/2 | PLACE
SHOW | Official chart |
| 2:22 PM | Finger Lakes | R4 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #5 Tacony Road If the pace stays honest (70%): #2 Charging Aero Counter-move (§16): #7 Sutton Breeze | 3/1
7/2
4/1 | WIN $4.98
OUT
OUT | Official chart |
| 2:51 PM | Finger Lakes | R5 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #5 Anmolo If the pace stays honest (70%): #7 Boom Shocka Boom | 5/2
7/2 | SHOW
SHOW | Official chart |
| 3:03 PM | Mahoning Valley | R7 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #5 Mr Loooch If the pace stays honest (70%): #8 Midnight Warship | 2/1
5/2 | OUT
PLACE | Official chart |
| 3:22 PM | Parx | R7 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #7 Vancougar ★ PACE-PRICE | 7/2 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 3:31 PM | Mahoning Valley | R8 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #5 Lightning Speed Counter-move (§16): #4 Jolly Mon | 7/2
4/1 | OUT
PLACE | Official chart |
| 3:49 PM | Parx | R8 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #4 More Than Grace | 4/5 | WIN $2.60 | Official chart |
| 4:18 PM | Finger Lakes | R8 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #7 Rocked Out Counter-move (§16): #3 Liv Has Rizz | 3/1
7/2 | OUT
WIN $8.04 | Official chart |
| 7:00 PM | Mountaineer | R1 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #12 Royal Salute If the pace stays honest (70%): #9 Italian Symphony Counter-move (§16): #10 Legal Titan | 2/1
3/1
3/1 | OUT
PEND
OUT | Official chart |
| 7:25 PM | Mountaineer | R2 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #1 Xhilaratingpurpose If the pace stays honest (70%): #2 Machen Reigns | 2/1
3/1 | SHOW
WIN $9.80 | Official chart |
| 7:50 PM | Mountaineer | R3 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #10 Tammy's Cruiser ★ | 3/1 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 9:30 PM | Mountaineer | R7 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #4 Mitote If the pace stays honest (70%): #5 Magi Cal Nation | 9/5
3/1 | OUT
WIN $4.40 | Official chart |
| Horseshoe Indianapolis | R5 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #1 Pink Picture | 5/1 | OUT | Official chart |