DAILY PACE CARD
Selections — Results
Every pick from the day's selections sheet, settled against the official results.
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 · 27 picks · All times ET
Page built October 27, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET — if this stamp looks old, refresh the page.
Races settled: 20 of 24 — two $2 win picks per race, one for each of the two most likely pace scenarios.
21 race(s) filed one pick only — the second scenario fell below the likelihood floor (v2.2); the single leg counts with the most likely scenario picks.
Most likely scenario picks: 20 settled · 7 winners · $40 win bets → $30.66 · ROI -23.3%
Second scenario picks: 3 settled · 1 winners · $6 win bets → $5.60 · ROI -6.7%
Winner was one of the pair: 7 of 20 races.
Counter-move legs (v2.9 §16): 7 settled · 2 winners · $14 win bets → $18.40 · ROI +31.4% — counted in the scorecard above.
Pace-price legs (v3.0 §19): 4 settled · 2 winners · $8 win bets → $20.00 · ROI +150.0% — counted in the scorecard above.
Pace-price tags (memo — these legs are counted in their pair/counter lines above, not added again): 8 legs · 2 winners · $16 win bets → $13.60 · ROI -15.0%
In the money: 21 of 34 pick legs (62%) finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd.
The 12 winners paid an average of $6.22 on a $2 win ticket.
Across the board: $2 win-place-show on every pick — $138 → $110.88 · ROI -19.7%.
Scratches: 3 pick(s) were scratched in the official chart. Those legs settle on the filed backup shown under each pick — the pick that would have been filed had the scratches been known — and the scorecard above counts them.
As filed (before scratches): 31 settled · 11 winners · $62 win bets → $69.06 · ROI +11.4%
⭐ BEST BET OF THE DAY
6:15 PM ET · Fairmount Park · Race 10
1m70yds · Dirt · OC 10000n1x
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (55%)
#11 Sound of Victory ★ 7/2 PACE-PRICESCRATCHED — REFUND
Trainer: Armando Hernandez · Jockey: Frank Reyes
Sound of Victory is second on the blended late graph (90) at the field's top weight of 132 lb for Armando Hernandez/Frank Reyes, off a win and a good last race; under an honest pace his finish is the strongest in the field after the favorite's. Filed as slot 1 by the v2.9 section 16 counter-move: this horse is the frozen formula's top horse in a marked race with no strong favorite, replacing the standing-discipline slot 1
The price: 7/2 second choice behind the 3/1 favorite Governing Party — priced just off the favorite despite the top weight and a win last out; the sheet rates him the stronger finisher of the two at the longer price
IF THE PACE IS CONTROLLED (45%)
#10 Governing Party 3/1🏆 WIN
Trainer: Dennis Higgins · Jockey: Johanis Aranguren
Paid $5.60 to win ($2)
Governing Party leads both graphs (early 96, blended late 100) for Dennis Higgins/Johanis Aranguren — a profile edge (leads both graphs) — off a win; if the pace is controlled, he is the horse doing the controlling and his late figure says he finishes the job
The price: 3/1 favorite, a half-step clear of Sound of Victory at 7/2 — priced shortest on both graphs and the win last out; the sheet agrees with the number, so the value case sits in the other slot
NEXT BEST
3:12 PM ET · Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 HOT
6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance 38000n1x
IF THE PACE IS CONTROLLED (55%)
#10 Rank Randy ★ 5/2 PACE-PRICEOUT
Trainer: Randy L Klopp · Jockey: Fernando De La Cruz
Won by #9 Thousands of Hopes — paid $14.80
Rank Randy owns the field's best early figure (96) as the controlling E for Randy L Klopp/Fernando De La Cruz, with the second-best blended late figure (54) and 124 lb; if the pace is controlled he is the one controlling it, off a good last race (2/10). Filed as slot 1 by the v2.9 section 16 counter-move: this horse is the frozen formula's top horse in a marked race with no strong favorite, replacing the standing-discipline slot 1
The price: 5/2 second choice behind the 2/1 favorite El Payasito — priced as the speed danger rather than the finisher; the sheet's late graph belongs to the favorite, so this slot leans on his early control being the race
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (45%)
#8 El Payasito 2/1OUT
Trainer: Genaro Garcia · Jockey: Amir Mendoza
Won by #9 Thousands of Hopes — paid $14.80
El Payasito leads the blended late graph (77) by a clear margin of 23 and is top-2 on both graphs (early 88) for Genaro Garcia/Amir Mendoza — a profile edge — off a win; under an honest pace his finish is the separator in this allowance sprint
The price: 2/1 favorite, clear of Rank Randy at 5/2 — priced shortest on the win and the late graph; the sheet backs the number, and the caution on him is the drop in class the crowd may be paying for twice
FEATURED PLAY
12:43 PM ET · Mahoning Valley · Race 2 HOT
1 Mile · Dirt · Allowance 25900n2L
IF THE PACE IS CONTROLLED (65%)
#4 Electa 1/1🏆 WIN
Trainer: David Wolochuk · Jockey: Chelsey Keiser
Paid $2.40 to win ($2)
Electa leads both graphs (early 90, blended late 85) with a clear-margin late lead of 19 for David Wolochuk/Chelsey Keiser — a profile edge (leads both graphs) — off a win; as the field's only true E with the best early figure she owns the controlled pace the price floor asks for, and her late figure finishes it
The price: Evens favorite, well clear of Bend My Ear at 5/2 — priced as the standout on the win and both graphs; the sheet agrees with the line's read at every point, so the short price is the honest one
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (35%)
#2 Bend My Ear ★ 5/2 PACE-PRICE3RD · SHOW
Trainer: David Wolochuk · Jockey: Mauro Cedillo
Showed — paid $2.10 to show ($2). Won by #4 Electa
Bend My Ear is second on the blended late graph (66) with a raw late figure and the field's top weight of 127 lb for David Wolochuk/Mauro Cedillo, dropping in class off a good last race; if Suzie Q's Sister hooks Electa early, this is the stalker the honest pace sets up
The price: 5/2 second choice behind the even-money favorite Electa — priced on the class drop and the top weight; the caution is that the crowd overpays for the obvious drop, so the number is fair rather than generous
📋 The Cheat Sheet — Settled
| POST | TRACK | RACE | SELECTION | ML | RESULT | CHART |
|---|
| 12:15 PM | Mahoning Valley | R1 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #1 Trophy Husband Counter-move (§16): #9 Leo's Legacy PACE-PRICE | 5/2
7/2 | OUT
WIN $8.00 | Official chart |
| 12:40 PM | Parx | R1 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #7 America's Point Counter-move (§16): #3 Chilling Zensation | 3/1
4/1 | OUT
PLACE | Official chart |
| 12:43 PM | Mahoning Valley HOT | R2 | If the pace is controlled (65%): #4 Electa If the pace stays honest (35%): #2 Bend My Ear ★ PACE-PRICE | 1/1
5/2 | WIN $2.40
SHOW | Official chart |
| 12:55 PM | Finger Lakes HOT | R1 | If the pace is controlled (70%): #7 Free Dance | 8/5 | WIN $3.44 | Official chart |
| 1:07 PM | Parx | R2 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #5 Sofster ★ PACE-PRICE | 2/1 | OUT | Official chart |
| 1:11 PM | Mahoning Valley | R3 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #1 Big Lucky If the pace stays honest (70%): #3 Lucky Jeremy | 5/2
3/1 | WIN $5.80
OUT | Official chart |
| 2:07 PM | Mahoning Valley | R5 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #2 Ur Fabulous Counter-move (§16): #8 Veronicaforthewin | 5/2
4/1 | SHOW
WIN $10.40 | Official chart |
| 2:28 PM | Parx | R5 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #4 Dreaming of Gerry If the pace is controlled (70%): #5 Guaponess | 2/1
5/2 | PLACE
WIN $13.20 | Official chart |
| 2:41 PM | Horseshoe Indianapolis | R2 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #2 Soul of the Night ★ PACE-PRICE | 2/1 | SHOW | Official chart |
| 2:51 PM | Finger Lakes | R5 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #3 Breaking Stones Counter-move (§16): #9 Three Little Birds | 3/1
7/2 | WIN $4.90
OUT | Official chart |
| 3:03 PM | Mahoning Valley | R7 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #6 She's Willie Fast If the pace stays honest (70%): #7 Miss Elecktra Counter-move (§16): #1 Gray Perfection | 2/1
7/2
5/2 | SHOW
WIN $6.80
OUT | Official chart |
| 4:10 PM | Fairmount Park | R5 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #6 Then Now 'n Always | 4/5 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 3:12 PM | Horseshoe Indianapolis HOT | R3 | If the pace is controlled (55%): #10 Rank Randy ★ PACE-PRICE If the pace stays honest (45%): #8 El Payasito | 5/2
2/1 | OUT
OUT | Official chart |
| 3:22 PM | Parx | R7 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #6 Windsor Gold If the pace stays honest (70%): #2 Amy's Music | 2/1
3/1 | OUT
OUT | Official chart |
| 3:43 PM | Horseshoe Indianapolis HOT | R4 | If the pace is controlled (70%): #9 Tiz Wine Time Counter-move (§16): #6 Birkin Girl | 2/1
5/1 | WIN $5.60
OUT | Official chart |
| 3:49 PM | Finger Lakes | R7 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #4 Isola d'Oro ★ PACE-PRICE | 7/2 | SHOW | Official chart |
| 3:49 PM | Parx | R8 | If the pace is controlled (70%): #4 M Bs Melanie Cares | 5/2 | OUT | Official chart |
| 4:18 PM | Finger Lakes HOT | R8 | If the pace is controlled (70%): #6 Cinnamon Sugar Counter-move (§16): #3 Blue Eyed Scout PACE-PRICE | 2/1
5/2 | WIN $2.92
OUT | Official chart |
| 5:25 PM | Fairmount Park HOT | R8 | If the pace is controlled (70%): #7 Fiery Songbird | 6/5 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 6:15 PM | Fairmount Park | R10 | If the pace stays honest (55%): #11 Sound of Victory ★ PACE-PRICE If the pace is controlled (45%): #10 Governing Party | 7/2
3/1 | WIN $5.60
WIN $5.60 | Official chart |
| 7:25 PM | Mountaineer | R2 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #4 Goldcrest Counter-move (§16): #6 Tuenda | 2/1
3/1 | PEND
PEND | |
| 8:15 PM | Mountaineer | R4 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #12 Stay Faithful ★ Counter-move (§16): #11 Smart With Heart | 5/1
8/1 | PEND
PEND | |
| 8:40 PM | Mountaineer HOT | R5 | If the pace is controlled (70%): #7 Printrack Counter-move (§16): #6 Grande Tortugon PACE-PRICE | 2/1
3/1 | PEND
PEND | |
| 9:30 PM | Mountaineer | R7 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #6 Erlan ★ PACE-PRICE | 3/1 | PEND | |