DAILY PACE CARD
Selections — Results
Every pick from the day's selections sheet, settled against the official results.
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 31 picks · All times ET
Page built October 28, 2026 · 8:02 PM ET — if this stamp looks old, refresh the page.
Races settled: 25 of 28 — two $2 win picks per race, one for each of the two most likely pace scenarios.
25 race(s) filed one pick only — the second scenario fell below the likelihood floor (v2.2); the single leg counts with the most likely scenario picks.
Most likely scenario picks: 25 settled · 10 winners · $50 win bets → $37.62 · ROI -24.8%
Second scenario picks: 3 settled · 2 winners · $6 win bets → $13.40 · ROI +123.3%
Winner was one of the pair: 12 of 25 races.
Counter-move legs (v2.9 §16): 2 settled · 0 winners · $4 win bets → $0.00 · ROI -100.0% — counted in the scorecard above. 2 counter leg(s) scratched — refunded (a counter leg has no backup).
Pace-price legs (v3.0 §19): 8 settled · 1 winners · $16 win bets → $9.88 · ROI -38.2% — counted in the scorecard above. 1 pace-price leg(s) scratched — refunded (a pace-price leg has no backup).
Pace-price tags (memo — these legs are counted in their pair/counter lines above, not added again): 5 legs · 2 winners · $10 win bets → $13.40 · ROI +34.0%
In the money: 26 of 38 pick legs (68%) finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd.
The 13 winners paid an average of $4.68 on a $2 win ticket.
Across the board: $2 win-place-show on every pick — $168 → $143.88 · ROI -14.4%.
As filed (before scratches): 38 settled · 13 winners · $76 win bets → $60.90 · ROI -19.9%
⭐ BEST BET OF THE DAY
7:41 PM ET · Penn National · Race 5
6 Furlongs · Dirt · OC 40000b
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (70%)
#5 Show Time 8/5OUT
Trainer: David Jacobson · Jockey: Angel R Rodriguez
Won by #1 Great Richie M — paid $8.80
Show Time leads the blended late graph (91) for David Jacobson/Angel R Rodriguez at 148 lb - a named edge the sheet gives the favorite; under an honest pace his finish is the strongest the scenario leaves standing
The price: 8/5 favorite, clear of Track Phantom at 5/2 - priced shortest on the sheet evidence above; the line and the sheet agree here
NEXT BEST
4:35 PM ET · Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7
1 1/16 Mile · Dirt · FrebllBbyH55K
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (65%)
#3 Lil Gin N Class 5/22ND · PLACE
Trainer: Tim Eggleston · Jockey: Emmanuel Esquivel
Placed — paid $2.80 to place ($2). Won by #6 Itzforever
Lil Gin N Class files as slot 1 under the section 14A fallback - no non-favorite holds a clear-margin late lead (the leader Itzforever's margin is 5) - and the favorite carries a blended late figure for Tim Eggleston/Emmanuel Esquivel at 136 lb; under an honest pace his finish is the strongest the scenario leaves standing
The price: 5/2 favorite, clear of Itzforever at 3/1 - priced shortest on the sheet evidence above; the line and the sheet agree here
IF THE PACE IS CONTROLLED (35%)
#6 Itzforever ★ 3/1 PACE-PRICE🏆 WIN
Trainer: Anthony J Granitz · Jockey: Santo Sanjur
Paid $7.00 to win ($2)
Itzforever leads the blended late graph (84) for Anthony J Granitz/Santo Sanjur at 133 lb - a named edge the sheet gives the favorite; under a controlled pace he is in the forward group throughout
The price: 3/1 second choice - the favorite Lil Gin N Class was passed for lacking a named edge, and this horse is the best alternative the sheet supports
FEATURED PLAY
12:55 PM ET · Finger Lakes · Race 1
6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance 26500n2L
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (65%)
#1 Enterprisingly 2/1🏆 WIN
Trainer: Jonathan B Buckley · Jockey: Kevin Navarro
Paid $5.16 to win ($2)
Enterprisingly leads the blended late graph (92) for Jonathan B Buckley/Kevin Navarro at 122 lb - a named edge the sheet gives the favorite; under an honest pace his finish is the strongest the scenario leaves standing
The price: 2/1 favorite, clear of Majorsdreamcometru at 5/2 - priced shortest on the sheet evidence above; the line and the sheet agree here
IF THE PACE IS CONTROLLED (35%)
#3 Gramma G G ★ 3/1 PACE-PRICEOUT
Trainer: Chris J Englehart · Jockey: Andre S Worrie
Won by #1 Enterprisingly — paid $5.16
Gramma G G files as slot 1 under the section 14A fallback - no non-favorite holds a clear-margin late lead (the leader Enterprisingly's margin is 8) - and the favorite carries a blended late figure for Chris J Englehart/Andre S Worrie at 116 lb; under a controlled pace he is in the forward group throughout
The price: 3/1 a price horse - the favorite Enterprisingly was passed for lacking a named edge, and this horse is the best alternative the sheet supports
COUNTER-MOVE (V2.9 §16)
#2 Majorsdreamcometru 5/23RD · SHOW
Showed — paid $2.14 to show ($2). Won by #1 Enterprisingly
Counter-move (section 16): Majorsdreamcometru is the frozen formula's top non-favorite in a marked race with no strong favorite - OUR weight 114.495 lb, finished 1/9 last out - filed as an extra leg alongside the pair.
📋 The Cheat Sheet — Settled
| POST | TRACK | RACE | SELECTION | ML | RESULT | CHART |
|---|
| 12:15 PM | Mahoning Valley | R1 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #6 Electric Melody If the pace stays honest (70%): #2 Lady Jasper | 6/5 5/2 | WIN $2.60 PEND | Official chart |
| 12:40 PM | Parx HOT | R1 | If the pace is controlled (70%): #6 Psalmist | 6/5 | SHOW | Official chart |
| 12:55 PM | Finger Lakes | R1 | If the pace stays honest (65%): #1 Enterprisingly If the pace is controlled (35%): #3 Gramma G G ★ PACE-PRICE Counter-move (§16): #2 Majorsdreamcometru | 2/1 3/1 5/2 | WIN $5.16 OUT SHOW | Official chart |
| 1:11 PM | Mahoning Valley | R3 | If the pace stays honest (55%): #5 Colonel Poppy If the pace is controlled (45%): #9 Coastertothemoon ★ PACE-PRICE | 3/1 7/2 | SHOW WIN $6.40 | Official chart |
| 1:34 PM | Parx | R3 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #2 Prince Colton ★ | 3/1 | WIN $3.40 | Official chart |
| 1:39 PM | Mahoning Valley | R4 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #6 Lucky Victor | 3/1 | WIN $5.20 | Official chart |
| 1:53 PM | Finger Lakes | R3 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #2 Play Good Pay Good If the pace stays honest (70%): #4 Intentious | 8/5 5/2 | WIN $3.06 OUT | Official chart |
| 2:07 PM | Mahoning Valley HOT | R5 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #1 Need to Know Basis If the pace is controlled (70%): #2 That's the Way | 5/2 3/1 | OUT OUT | Official chart |
| 2:32 PM | Horseshoe Indianapolis | R3 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #6 Royal Justice Counter-move (§16): #2 Moon Law | 2/1 7/2 | WIN $2.60 PEND | Official chart |
| 2:43 PM | Belmont Park | R4 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #7 Treaty Obligation If the pace stays honest (70%): #5 Counterspy ★ | 5/2 3/1 | OUT SHOW | Official chart |
| 2:55 PM | Parx | R6 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #6 Let'smakeitadouble | 3/1 | WIN $4.00 | Official chart |
| 2:57 PM | Churchill Downs | R5 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #4 Greystone | 2/1 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 3:26 PM | Churchill Downs | R6 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #3 Noroomformischief If the pace stays honest (70%): #4 Lockdownyourtown | 8/5 5/2 | PLACE SHOW | Official chart |
| 3:31 PM | Mahoning Valley | R8 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #6 Overly Dramatic Counter-move (§16): #3 Lu's Redemption | 3/1 9/2 | OUT OUT | Official chart |
| 3:45 PM | Belmont Park | R6 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #2 That'sthefactjack If the pace is controlled (70%): #4 Vino Frizzante ★ | 7/2 3/1 | SHOW WIN $9.88 | Official chart |
| 3:49 PM | Parx | R8 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #3 Wish Carefully ★ PACE-PRICE | 7/2 | OUT | Official chart |
| 4:16 PM | Belmont Park | R7 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #4 Eff Thirty Five ★ PACE-PRICE | 7/2 | OUT | Official chart |
| 4:25 PM | Churchill Downs | R8 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #1 Initialize | 7/2 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 4:35 PM | Horseshoe Indianapolis | R7 | If the pace stays honest (65%): #3 Lil Gin N Class If the pace is controlled (35%): #6 Itzforever ★ PACE-PRICE | 5/2 3/1 | PLACE WIN $7.00 | Official chart |
| 5:40 PM | Delta Downs | R1 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #7 Purse Thief | 2/1 | WIN $5.20 | Official chart |
| 5:07 PM | Horseshoe Indianapolis | R8 | If the pace is controlled (70%): #10 Sussudio Counter-move (§16): #1 Max | 3/1 9/2 | OUT PEND | Official chart |
| 6:08 PM | Delta Downs | R2 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #2 Baron of the Nile If the pace stays honest (70%): #3 Donegal Freedom | 2/1 7/2 | WIN $3.40 SHOW | Official chart |
| 7:30 PM | Remington Park | R1 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #6 Vietnam Victory If the pace is controlled (70%): #3 City of Clouds | 5/2 7/2 | WIN $3.00 PLACE | Official chart |
| 6:43 PM | Penn National | R3 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #3 Morning Thoughts If the pace stays honest (70%): #6 Arrow Speed | 2/1 3/1 | OUT PLACE | Official chart |
| 8:28 PM | Delta Downs | R7 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #8 Bigwrigdude Counter-move (§16): #2 Gorilla Trek | 5/2 9/2 | PEND PEND | |
| 7:41 PM | Penn National | R5 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #5 Show Time | 8/5 | OUT | Official chart |
| 8:54 PM | Remington Park | R4 | If the pace stays honest (70%): #3 Guapo | 5/2 | PEND | |
| 8:39 PM | Penn National | R7 | PACE-PRICE (§19): #3 Holy Fit If the pace stays honest (70%): #1 Banco Di Sicilia | 2/1 7/2 | PEND PEND | |