DAILY PACE CARD

Selections — Results

Every pick from the day's selections sheet, settled against the official results.

Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 56 picks · All times ET

Page built October 29, 2026 · 11:49 PM ET — if this stamp looks old, refresh the page.

PICK LEGS SETTLED

WINNERS

24-13-9

WIN-PLACE-SHOW

$132

$2 WIN BETS

$134.38

RETURNED

+1.8%

ROI

Races settled: 48 of 48 — two $2 win picks per race, one for each of the two most likely pace scenarios.

40 race(s) filed one pick only — the second scenario fell below the likelihood floor (v2.2); the single leg counts with the most likely scenario picks.

Most likely scenario picks: 48 settled · 18 winners · $96 win bets → $92.36 · ROI -3.8%

Second scenario picks: 8 settled · 2 winners · $16 win bets → $14.30 · ROI -10.6%

Winner was one of the pair: 20 of 48 races.

Counter-move legs (v2.9 §16): 10 settled · 4 winners · $20 win bets → $27.72 · ROI +38.6% — counted in the scorecard above.

In the money: 46 of 66 pick legs (70%) finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd.

The 24 winners paid an average of $5.60 on a $2 win ticket.

Across the board: $2 win-place-show on every pick — $328 → $312.50 · ROI -4.7%. (4 pool stake(s) refunded — the chart printed no price for that pool.)

Scratches: 3 pick(s) were scratched in the official chart. Those legs settle on the filed backup shown under each pick — the pick that would have been filed had the scratches been known — and the scorecard above counts them.

As filed (before scratches): 63 settled · 24 winners · $126 win bets → $134.38 · ROI +6.7%

⭐ BEST BET OF THE DAY

8:10 PM ET · Penn National · Race 6

6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance 37000n1x

IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (55%)

#7 Clarely Tom ★ 9/2🏆 WIN

Trainer: Flint W Stites · Jockey: Wilfredo Corujo

Paid $4.00 to win ($2)

Clarely Tom's raw late figure is the field's best (raw late percentile 100, blended late 78, rank 2) for Flint W Stites at 133 lb - the sanctioned raw-late profile edge; under an honest pace his finish is the strongest the scenario leaves standing among the supported alternatives

The price: 9/2, fourth choice - the 5/2 favorite Tocik Hall was passed: his only sheet edge is lone speed, which no longer confirms a favorite by itself, so the best supported alternative is filed instead

Official chart

NEXT BEST

1:41 PM ET · Belmont Park · Race 2

1 1/16 Mile · Turf · Allowance 105000n1x

IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (65%)

#3 Calvin's Ride ★ 7/2SCRATCHED — REFUND

Trainer: Kevin Rice · Jockey: Manuel Franco

Calvin's Ride holds a clear-margin late lead of 16 (blended late 89) and is top-2 in both graphs while holding the late-graph lead for Kevin Rice at 141 lb; under an honest pace his finish is the strongest the scenario leaves standing

The price: 7/2 second choice behind the 3/1 favorite Sammy C Note - priced off the favorite despite the sheet evidence in the why; that gap is the value case

Official chart

FEATURED PLAY

5:07 PM ET · Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8

1 Mile · Turf · Allowance 46240n1x

IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (60%)

#5 Palm Tree 5/2🏆 WIN

Trainer: Cipriano Contreras · Jockey: Emmanuel Esquivel

Paid $3.40 to win ($2)

Palm Tree leads both graphs (early 89, blended late 100, a clear-margin late lead of 23) and his raw late figure is the field's best (100) for Cipriano Contreras at 139 lb; under an honest pace his finish is the strongest the scenario leaves standing

The price: 5/2 favorite, clear of Berlone at 4/1 - priced shortest on the sheet evidence above; the line and the sheet agree here

Official chart

📋 The Cheat Sheet — Settled

POST	TRACK	RACE	SELECTION	ML	RESULT	CHART
12:00 PM	Laurel Park	R1	If the pace stays honest (55%): #7 Leave Me If the pace is controlled (45%): #9 Kuhner ★ Official chart	2/1 5/2	OUT WIN $6.60	Official chart
12:15 PM	Mahoning Valley	R1	If the pace is controlled (65%): #1 Doin Mischief ★ Official chart	3/1	OUT	Official chart
12:29 PM	Laurel Park	R2	If the pace is controlled (75%): #5 Quaker City Official chart	6/5	WIN $4.00	Official chart
12:43 PM	Mahoning Valley	R2	If the pace stays honest (55%): #3 C V Jersey Bee Official chart	8/5	PLACE	Official chart
12:58 PM	Laurel Park	R3	If the pace stays honest (60%): #5 Magic in My Eyes Official chart	2/1	PLACE	Official chart
1:10 PM	Belmont Park	R1	If the pace stays honest (70%): #6 D C Boy's Counter-move (§16): #1 Kings Landyn Official chart	2/1 4/1	OUT WIN $4.08	Official chart
1:11 PM	Mahoning Valley	R3	If the pace collapses (55%): #7 Grey Bells ★ If the pace stays honest (45%): #1 Roses Thunder Official chart	6/1 8/5	PLACE PLACE	Official chart
1:27 PM	Laurel Park	R4	If the pace is controlled (65%): #3 Sagamore Mischief Official chart	7/5	SHOW	Official chart
1:30 PM	Horseshoe Indianapolis HOT	R1	If the pace is controlled (60%): #7 Nonno ★ Official chart	5/2	SHOW	Official chart
1:39 PM	Mahoning Valley	R4	If the pace stays honest (60%): #6 Authentic Cowtown Official chart	8/5	PLACE	Official chart
1:41 PM	Belmont Park	R2	If the pace stays honest (65%): #3 Calvin's Ride ★ Official chart	7/2	PLACE	Official chart
1:58 PM	Churchill Downs	R3	If the pace is controlled (55%): #6 Ruiva If the pace stays honest (45%): #7 Reza ★ Official chart	4/5 7/2	OUT OUT	Official chart
2:02 PM	Horseshoe Indianapolis	R2	If the pace stays honest (60%): #8 My Friend Wilson ★ Official chart	8/1	PLACE	Official chart
2:07 PM	Mahoning Valley	R5	If the pace stays honest (55%): #3 Waves of Liberty If the pace is controlled (45%): #1 Lofty Cowtown ★ Official chart	5/2 3/1	OUT OUT	Official chart
2:12 PM	Belmont Park HOT	R3	If the pace is controlled (75%): #1 Quick to Accuse Official chart	8/5	WIN $4.28	Official chart
2:23 PM	Laurel Park	R6	If the pace stays honest (55%): #4 Noble Jon Counter-move (§16): #8 Boat's a Rockin Official chart	5/2 5/1	WIN $5.00 SHOW	Official chart
2:27 PM	Churchill Downs HOT	R4	If the pace is controlled (70%): #2 Watershed Moment Official chart	9/5	WIN $7.20	Official chart
2:32 PM	Horseshoe Indianapolis	R3	If the pace stays honest (65%): #4 Unbridled Devine Counter-move (§16): #3 Call Me Angel Official chart	5/2 7/2	SHOW WIN $5.00	Official chart
2:52 PM	Laurel Park	R7	If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Miles Ahead Official chart	5/2	SHOW	Official chart
3:10 PM	Woodbine	R1	If the pace is controlled (55%): #3 Hope She Fires ★ Official chart	2/1	SHOW	Official chart
3:22 PM	Laurel Park	R8	If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Biker Baley Official chart	3/1	WIN $6.20	Official chart
3:26 PM	Churchill Downs	R6	If the pace stays honest (65%): #4 Paseo Counter-move (§16): #3 Onehotmess Official chart	2/1 7/2	OUT WIN $12.64	Official chart
3:31 PM	Mahoning Valley HOT	R8	If the pace is controlled (60%): #1 Cantcatchlilfletch Official chart	2/1	WIN $3.80	Official chart
3:51 PM	Laurel Park	R9	If the pace is controlled (65%): #8 Scabiosa Official chart	2/1	WIN $4.00	Official chart
3:55 PM	Churchill Downs	R7	If the pace stays honest (65%): #2 White Whale ★ Official chart	9/2	WIN $4.48	Official chart
4:04 PM	Horseshoe Indianapolis	R6	If the pace stays honest (60%): #8 T V Channel ★ Official chart	9/2	PLACE	Official chart
4:10 PM	Woodbine	R3	If the pace stays honest (60%): #2 Chocolatecroissant Official chart	7/5	WIN $5.10	Official chart
4:16 PM	Belmont Park	R7	If the pace stays honest (70%): #3 Grunge Official chart	5/2	WIN $4.50	Official chart
4:35 PM	Horseshoe Indianapolis	R7	If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Cupid's Runaway Official chart	3/1	PLACE	Official chart
5:40 PM	Delta Downs	R1	If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Gently Counter-move (§16): #9 Redriver Storm Official chart	5/2 7/2	OUT OUT	Official chart
5:07 PM	Horseshoe Indianapolis	R8	If the pace stays honest (60%): #5 Palm Tree Official chart	5/2	WIN $3.40	Official chart
6:08 PM	Delta Downs	R2	If the pace stays honest (60%): #5 Nopenottonight Counter-move (§16): #9 Tensas Camp Road Official chart	3/1 6/1	WIN $5.20 OUT	Official chart
5:10 PM	Woodbine	R5	If the pace stays honest (55%): #4 I Wanna Be Me ★ If the pace is controlled (45%): #6 Money Talks Official chart	5/2 2/1	SHOW WIN $7.70	Official chart
5:45 PM	Penn National	R1	If the pace is controlled (55%): #5 Back Wall Bandit If the pace stays honest (45%): #4 Lachicafortequila ★ Official chart	2/1 3/1	WIN $2.80 PLACE	Official chart
7:04 PM	Delta Downs	R4	If the pace stays honest (65%): #1 Blue Mist Counter-move (§16): #8 Annie's Allie Official chart	5/2 9/2	PLACE OUT	Official chart
6:14 PM	Penn National	R2	If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Tavria ★ Official chart	5/1	WIN $10.00	Official chart
7:32 PM	Delta Downs	R5	If the pace stays honest (65%): #7 Highstakes Hustler Counter-move (§16): #1 Runforjustice Official chart	2/1 3/1	WIN $11.60 SHOW	Official chart
6:43 PM	Penn National	R3	If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Heaven Street Official chart	5/2	WIN $4.40	Official chart
7:12 PM	Penn National	R4	If the pace stays honest (55%): #4 Black Fly If the pace is controlled (45%): #2 Mega Changer ★ Official chart	2/1 3/1	OUT PLACE	Official chart
7:41 PM	Penn National	R5	If the pace stays honest (60%): #6 Backside Buzz Counter-move (§16): #3 Five Dreams Official chart	2/1 4/1	SHOW OUT	Official chart
8:54 PM	Remington Park	R4	If the pace stays honest (55%): #3 Theprincessfactor If the pace is controlled (45%): #4 Belmira ★ Official chart	5/2 3/1	OUT OUT	Official chart
8:10 PM	Penn National	R6	If the pace stays honest (55%): #7 Clarely Tom ★ Official chart	9/2	WIN $4.00	Official chart
9:22 PM	Remington Park	R5	If the pace stays honest (60%): #1 Vaedra ★ Official chart	9/2	OUT	Official chart
8:53 PM	Charles Town	R5	If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Cataenjo ★ Official chart	3/1	OUT	Official chart
10:18 PM	Remington Park	R7	If the pace stays honest (60%): #6 Added Touch Official chart	5/2	OUT	Official chart
9:21 PM	Charles Town	R6	If the pace stays honest (65%): #3 God's Pride Official chart	1/1	WIN $2.40	Official chart
10:46 PM	Remington Park	R8	If the pace stays honest (60%): #1 John Elneigh Counter-move (§16): #7 Shai A Official chart	5/2 4/1	PLACE WIN $6.00	Official chart
9:49 PM	Charles Town HOT	R7	If the pace is controlled (70%): #8 Palmetto Fury Official chart	7/5	OUT	Official chart

★ = the pick was not the morning-line favorite.
The HOT badge marks the race shape our settled record wins most — controlled pace on top, a clear late-graph leader, no synthetic surface.
PEND — the pick was scratched in the official chart and no filed backup ran, so the play is a refund. It is not a result still missing.
When a pick is scratched and a filed backup ran, the leg settles on that backup — the pick that would have been filed had the scratches been known — and counts in the scorecard.
Counter-move legs (v2.9 §16) are extra $2 win legs filed in races with no strong favorite; they count in the scorecard and carry no scratch backup — a scratched counter leg is a refund.
Pace-price legs (v3.0 §19) are the race's headline pace pick at 2/1–7/2; standalone legs count in the scorecard and carry no scratch backup — a scratched pace-price leg is a refund. A PACE-PRICE tag on a pair or counter leg marks the same horse and is reported as a memo line only, never counted twice.
Payouts are the official $2 payoffs. Full race-by-race results with WIN/PLACE/SHOW banners: see the Results Archive.
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The picks, the pace sheets, and the podcast are all produced by AI. Rankings follow the morning line.