THOROUGHWIZ

The Tip Sheet — Results

Every pick from the day's selections sheet, settled against the official results.

Friday, November 6, 2026 · 48 picks · All times ET

Page built November 6, 2026 · 8:01 PM ET — if this stamp looks old, refresh the page.

PICK LEGS SETTLED

WINNERS

8-8-6

WIN-PLACE-SHOW

$70

$2 WIN BETS

$44.86

RETURNED

-35.9%

WIN ROI

-24.1%

PLACE ROI

-22.1%

SHOW ROI

Place bets: 35 settled · $70 place bets → $53.10 · ROI -24.1%

Show bets: 35 settled · $70 show bets → $54.54 · ROI -22.1%

Consensus sheet races: 25 settled · 4 winners · W-P-S 4-6-4 · $50 win bets → $22.00 · WIN ROI -56.0% · PLACE ROI -33.4% · SHOW ROI -31.4% — the picks from the 43 races printed on the day's Consensus Sheet, scored separately; a subset of the scorecard above, not added to it.

Races settled: 33 of 46 — the two scenario picks still file, but the math settles ONE $2 win pick per race: the official pick. From the 2026-11-01 card the official pick is chosen by the margin rule (protocol v3.8 §23): of the two scenario horses, the one that stands clearest of the field on its own pace graph — slot 1 unless that margin puts the official pick on the second scenario's horse (earlier days filed no margin choice and settle on slot 1). If the official pick is scratched, the other scenario's pick is the first backup, then the official pick's filed alternate, then the other scenario's alternate (single-pick accounting, Douglas 2026-11-01; margin rule v3.8).

44 race(s) filed one pick only — the second scenario fell below the likelihood floor (v2.2); that pick is the official pick and its filed alternate is its backup.

Official picks: 33 settled · 8 winners · $66 win bets → $44.86 · ROI -32.0%

Backup chain: 1 official pick(s) were scratched and settled on the first backup that ran; 0 race(s) had every horse in the chain scratched and count no leg.

Winner was the official pick: 8 of 33 races.

Counter-move legs (v2.9 §16): 2 settled · 0 winners · $4 win bets → $0.00 · ROI -100.0% — counted in the scorecard above.

In the money: 22 of 35 pick legs (63%) finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd.

The 8 winners paid an average of $5.61 on a $2 win ticket.

Across the board: $2 win-place-show on every pick — $198 → $152.50 · ROI -23.0%.

Scratches: 1 official pick(s) were scratched in the official chart. Those legs settle on the first backup in the chain that actually ran — the other scenario's pick first, then the official pick's filed alternate, then the other scenario's alternate — and the scorecard above counts them.

As filed (before scratches): 34 settled · 8 winners · $68 win bets → $44.86 · ROI -34.0%

★ BEST BET OF THE DAY

3:43 PM ET · Belmont Park · Race 7

1 1/8 Mile · Dirt · OC 110000b

IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (60%)

#2 Yo Daddy 2/12ND · PLACE

Trainer: Linda Rice · Jockey: Jose Lezcano

Placed — paid $3.12 to place ($2). Won by #6 Cool Intentions

Yo Daddy is the morning-line favorite with a named sheet edge — a favorite; the pace is pressured but holds together.

The price: 2/1 favorite — the line prices him off his sheet figures and recent form.

Official chart

NEXT BEST

11:14 PM ET · Remington Park · Race 9

1 Mile · Dirt · DCMcNeillB50K

IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (60%)

#2 Drain the Shot 5/2RESULT PENDING

Trainer: Michael J Maker · Jockey: Ramon A Vazquez

Drain the Shot is the morning-line favorite with a named sheet edge — a favorite; the pace is pressured but holds together.

The price: 5/2 favorite — the line prices him off his sheet figures and recent form.

FEATURED PLAY

2:27 PM ET · Churchill Downs · Race 4

1 Mile · Dirt · Allowance 127000n1x

IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (60%)

#1 The Grumpy Rabbit 7/5OUT

Trainer: Kenneth G McPeek · Jockey: Jose L Ortiz

Won by #6 Just Singing — paid $5.96

The Grumpy Rabbit is the morning-line favorite with a named sheet edge — a favorite files despite the price-floor check — no alternative in the scenario picture clears the clear-margin gate; the pace is pressured but holds together.

The price: 7/5 favorite — the line prices him off his sheet figures and recent form.

Official chart

The Cheat Sheet — Settled

POST	TRACK	RACE	SELECTION	ML	RESULT	CHART
12:20 PM	Gulfstream Park	R1	If the pace collapses (60%): #3 Pardo Official chart	3/1	WIN $2.80	Official chart
3:30 PM	Del Mar	R1	If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Debby's Gal Official chart	6/5	SHOW	Official chart
12:40 PM	Belmont Park	R1	If the lone speed gets loose (65%): #3 Joven ★ Official chart	9/5	OUT	Official chart
12:56 PM	Laurel Park HOT	R3	If the pace is controlled (55%): #1 Humming If the pace stays honest (45%): #12 Flag Is Up ★ Official chart	2/1 5/2	PEND OUT	Official chart
1:00 PM	Churchill Downs	R1	If the lone speed gets loose (65%): #2 National Forest Official chart	4/5	WIN $2.74	Official chart
1:05 PM	Woodbine	R1	If the pace collapses (60%): #5 Di Capri Official chart	9/5	OUT	Official chart
1:22 PM	Gulfstream Park	R3	If the pace collapses (60%): #6 Amande Official chart	7/5	WIN $4.00	Official chart
1:26 PM	Laurel Park	R4	If the pace stays honest (60%): #5 Saint Shance Official chart	3/2	PLACE	Official chart
1:30 PM	Horseshoe Indianapolis	R1	If the pace stays honest (70%): #1 Coaxed Official chart	6/5	PLACE	Official chart
4:32 PM	Del Mar	R3	If the pace stays honest (60%): #1 Charmz Away Official chart	5/2	SHOW	Official chart
1:58 PM	Churchill Downs	R3	If the pace is controlled (65%): #1 A La Vie ★ Official chart	4/1	WIN $7.60	Official chart
2:10 PM	Belmont Park	R4	If the pace is controlled (65%): #2 Kid's Khanclusion If the pace stays honest (35%): #7 Big Frosty ★ Official chart	5/2 3/1	WIN $6.72 OUT	Official chart
2:15 PM	Horseshoe Indianapolis	R2	If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Mochamotion ★ Official chart	5/2	OUT	Official chart
2:22 PM	Laurel Park	R6	If the pace is controlled (65%): #1 Feroza Official chart	7/2	PLACE	Official chart
2:27 PM	Churchill Downs	R4	If the pace stays honest (60%): #1 The Grumpy Rabbit Official chart	7/5	OUT	Official chart
2:32 PM	Gulfstream Park	R5	If the pace collapses (60%): #5 Inherent Promise ★ Official chart	3/1	SHOW	Official chart
5:33 PM	Del Mar	R5	If the pace stays honest (60%): #2 Theresasilverlinin Official chart	5/2	WIN $7.60	Official chart
2:47 PM	Horseshoe Indianapolis HOT	R3	If the pace is controlled (65%): #3 Buckley Gold Water Official chart	7/2	PLACE	Official chart
2:51 PM	Laurel Park	R7	If the pace stays honest (60%): #2 Java Prince ★ Official chart	5/2	WIN $5.80	Official chart
3:04 PM	Gulfstream Park	R6	If the pace collapses (60%): #2 English Harbour Official chart	9/5	OUT	Official chart
3:18 PM	Horseshoe Indianapolis	R4	If the pace collapses (60%): #6 Luckies Joy Official chart	5/2	SHOW	Official chart
3:26 PM	Churchill Downs	R6	If the pace is controlled (65%): #2 Can't Stop Willis ★ Official chart	4/1	SHOW	Official chart
6:33 PM	Del Mar	R7	If the pace collapses (60%): #7 Mischievous Bev (promoted — filed pick #13 Blame the Track scratched) Official chart	3/1	OUT	Official chart
3:36 PM	Gulfstream Park	R7	If the pace collapses (60%): #7 Just a Girl Official chart	8/5	PLACE	Official chart
3:43 PM	Belmont Park	R7	If the pace stays honest (60%): #2 Yo Daddy Official chart	2/1	PLACE	Official chart
4:07 PM	Woodbine	R7	If the pace collapses (60%): #7 American Decision ★ Official chart	4/1	OUT	Official chart
4:19 PM	Horseshoe Indianapolis	R6	If the pace stays honest (60%): #2 Don't Cross Alexis ★ Counter-move (§16): #2 Don't Cross Alexis Official chart	7/2 7/2	OUT OUT	Official chart
4:55 PM	Churchill Downs	R9	If the pace collapses (60%): #3 McKinzie's Glory Official chart	9/2	PLACE	Official chart
5:18 PM	Horseshoe Indianapolis	R8	If the pace collapses (60%): #3 Good Civilian Counter-move (§16): #10 Charlie Tolu Official chart	3/1 5/1	WIN $7.60 OUT	Official chart
6:36 PM	Delta Downs	R3	If the lone speed gets loose (65%): #7 Carlos the Kid Official chart	2/1	OUT	Official chart
7:32 PM	Delta Downs	R5	If the pace collapses (60%): #6 Runhappy d'Oro Official chart	5/2	OUT	Official chart
6:43 PM	Penn National	R3	If the pace collapses (60%): #4 Bruder Official chart	2/1	PLACE	Official chart
8:00 PM	Delta Downs	R6	If the pace stays honest (60%): #9 Drilling Report Counter-move (§16): #10 Theboyz Warning	3/1 5/1	PEND PEND
8:26 PM	Remington Park	R3	If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Attack Now Counter-move (§16): #3 Deposit Insurance	2/1 4/1	PEND PEND
8:28 PM	Delta Downs	R7	If the pace stays honest (60%): #1 Vineaux ★	3/1	PEND
7:32 PM	Charles Town	R2	If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Pomerance Official chart	7/5	SHOW	Official chart
8:56 PM	Delta Downs	R8	If the pace stays honest (60%): #9 Bet Towinit	3/1	PEND
8:02 PM	Charles Town	R3	If the pace stays honest (60%): #8 Toodleswasmyname	7/5	PEND
9:22 PM	Remington Park	R5	If the pace collapses (60%): #5 Laws of Man Counter-move (§16): #9 Golden Rebal	3/1 5/1	PEND PEND
9:24 PM	Delta Downs	R9	If the pace stays honest (60%): #1 Hannah Boo	3/1	PEND
10:18 PM	Remington Park	R7	If the lone speed gets loose (65%): #2 Vintage Cowboy Counter-move (§16): #5 Baker Hayfield	3/1 6/1	PEND PEND
9:32 PM	Charles Town	R6	If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Life Is Daily	3/5	PEND
10:46 PM	Remington Park	R8	If the pace collapses (60%): #3 Mister Omaha	2/1	PEND
10:02 PM	Charles Town	R7	If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Bellofthebluegrass	7/2	PEND
11:14 PM	Remington Park	R9	If the pace stays honest (60%): #2 Drain the Shot	5/2	PEND
10:32 PM	Charles Town	R8	If the pace stays honest (70%): #3 Bernie's Mitts ★	4/1	PEND

★ = the pick was not the morning-line favorite.
The HOT badge marks the race shape our settled record wins most — controlled pace on top, a clear late-graph leader, no synthetic surface.
PEND — the pick was scratched in the official chart and no filed backup ran, so the play is a refund. It is not a result still missing.
When a pick is scratched and a filed backup ran, the leg settles on that backup — the pick that would have been filed had the scratches been known — and counts in the scorecard.
Counter-move legs (v2.9 §16) are extra $2 win legs filed in races with no strong favorite; they count in the scorecard and carry no scratch backup — a scratched counter leg is a refund.
Pace-price legs (v3.0 §19) are the race's headline pace pick at 2/1–7/2; standalone legs count in the scorecard and carry no scratch backup — a scratched pace-price leg is a refund. A PACE-PRICE tag on a pair or counter leg marks the same horse and is reported as a memo line only, never counted twice.
Payouts are the official $2 payoffs. Full race-by-race results with WIN/PLACE/SHOW banners: see the Results Archive.
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