THOROUGHWIZ

The Tip Sheet — Results

Every pick from the day's selections sheet, settled against the official results.

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 43 picks · All times ET

Page built November 9, 2026 · 12:49 AM ET — if this stamp looks old, refresh the page.

PICK LEGS SETTLED

WINNERS

12-6-5

WIN-PLACE-SHOW

$72

$2 WIN BETS

$68.04

RETURNED

-5.5%

WIN ROI

-18.0%

PLACE ROI

-21.5%

SHOW ROI

Place bets: 36 settled · $72 place bets → $59.06 · ROI -18.0%

Show bets: 36 settled · $72 show bets → $56.50 · ROI -21.5% — 1 in-the-money leg(s) had no show price in the official chart and count $0.

Consensus sheet races: 30 settled · 10 winners · W-P-S 10-5-4 · $60 win bets → $54.50 · WIN ROI -9.2% · PLACE ROI -18.3% · SHOW ROI -23.4% — the picks from the 35 races printed on the day's Consensus Sheet, scored separately; a subset of the scorecard above, not added to it.

Races settled: 32 of 32 — the two scenario picks still file, but the math settles ONE $2 win pick per race: the official pick. From the 2026-11-01 card the official pick is chosen by the margin rule (protocol v3.8 §23): of the two scenario horses, the one that stands clearest of the field on its own pace graph — slot 1 unless that margin puts the official pick on the second scenario's horse (earlier days filed no margin choice and settle on slot 1). If the official pick is scratched, the other scenario's pick is the first backup, then the official pick's filed alternate, then the other scenario's alternate (single-pick accounting, Douglas 2026-11-01; margin rule v3.8).

21 race(s) filed one pick only — the second scenario fell below the likelihood floor (v2.2); that pick is the official pick and its filed alternate is its backup.

Official picks: 32 settled · 11 winners · $64 win bets → $59.64 · ROI -6.8%

Winner was the official pick: 11 of 32 races.

Counter-move legs (v2.9 §16): 4 settled · 1 winners · $8 win bets → $8.40 · ROI +5.0% — counted in the scorecard above.

In the money: 23 of 36 pick legs (64%) finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd.

The 12 winners paid an average of $5.67 on a $2 win ticket.

Across the board: $2 win-place-show on every pick — $190 → $167.60 · ROI -11.8%. (1 pool stake(s) refunded — the chart printed no price for that pool.)

★ BEST BET OF THE DAY

12:40 PM ET · Belmont Park · Race 1

1 Mile · Dirt · OC 110000n1x

IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (60%)

#3 Hullabaloo Ray Ray 1/9WIN

Trainer: Thomas F Proctor · Jockey: Jose Lezcano

Paid $2.24 to win ($2)

Hullabaloo Ray Ray is the morning-line favorite with a named sheet edge — a clear-margin blended late-graph lead of 66 (late 100, profile (d)); also (b) top-2 in both graphs while holding the late-graph lead in this 1 Mile Dirt race (OC 110000n1x).

The price: 1/9 favorite — no non-favorite in the field qualified under the slot-1 deviation gate (blend margin plus a profile edge), so the favorite files under that fallback; the short price carries no hard-edge claim beyond its blend-top position.

Official chart

NEXT BEST

4:55 PM ET · Churchill Downs · Race 9

6 Furlongs · Dirt · OC 125000n2x

IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (60%)

#1 Sneaky Good 7/5WIN

Trainer: Brad H Cox · Jockey: Luis Saez

Paid $4.20 to win ($2)

Sneaky Good is the morning-line favorite with a named sheet edge — a clear-margin blended late-graph lead of 50 (late 100, profile (d)); also (c) late_proj >= 90 in this 6 Furlongs Dirt race (OC 125000n2x).

The price: 7/5 favorite — no non-favorite in the field qualified under the slot-1 deviation gate (blend margin plus a profile edge), so the favorite files under that fallback; the short price carries no hard-edge claim beyond its blend-top position.

Official chart

FEATURED PLAY

6:03 PM ET · Del Mar · Race 6 HOT

6 Furlongs · Dirt · OC 50000n1x

IF THE PACE IS CONTROLLED (65%)

#5 Himari 6/5WIN

Trainer: Bob Baffert · Jockey: Juan J Hernandez

Paid $3.60 to win ($2)

Himari is the morning-line favorite with a named sheet edge — a clear-margin blended late-graph lead of 31 (late 92, profile (d)); also (b) top-2 in both graphs while holding the late-graph lead in this 6 Furlongs Dirt race (OC 50000n1x).

The price: 6/5 favorite over the 8/5 second choice — the line's top choice, with the sheet edge named in the why as its confirmation.

Official chart

The Cheat Sheet — Settled

POST	TRACK	RACE	SELECTION	ML	RESULT	CHART
12:20 PM	Gulfstream Park	R1	If the pace stays honest (55%): #7 Imperia Blue If the pace is controlled (45%): #2 Looks to Kill ★ Official chart	5/2 7/2	SHOW WIN $7.40	Official chart
12:40 PM	Belmont Park	R1	If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Hullabaloo Ray Ray Official chart	1/9	WIN $2.24	Official chart
1:05 PM	Woodbine	R1	If the pace is controlled (55%): #3 Napa Spirit If the pace stays honest (45%): #1 Forester's Fortune ★ Official chart	2/1 5/2	WIN $5.30 OUT	Official chart
1:20 PM	Gulfstream Park	R3	If the pace is controlled (55%): #5 Rockazo If the pace stays honest (45%): #2 Sky Masterson ★ Official chart	7/5 2/1	PLACE WIN	Official chart
1:29 PM	Churchill Downs	R2	If the pace stays honest (55%): #6 Bourbon Notes If the pace stays honest (55%): #6 Bourbon Notes Official chart	7/5 7/5	SHOW SHOW	Official chart
1:33 PM	Woodbine	R2	If the pace stays honest (60%): #5 Fracen Macho Official chart	8/5	OUT	Official chart
1:40 PM	Belmont Park	R3	If the pace stays honest (60%): #1 Hypnotica Official chart	5/2	PLACE	Official chart
1:50 PM	Gulfstream Park	R4	If the pace stays honest (60%): #8 Cillian Official chart	2/1	OUT	Official chart
5:03 PM	Del Mar	R4	If the pace stays honest (60%): #8 Penny the Jet Counter-move (§16): #4 Kizazi Official chart	5/2 5/1	WIN $6.00 OUT	Official chart
2:05 PM	Woodbine	R3	If the pace stays honest (60%): #1 Verge Official chart	2/1	WIN $6.00	Official chart
2:10 PM	Belmont Park	R4	If the pace stays honest (55%): #4 Franklin Delano If the pace is controlled (45%): #6 Hot Property ★ Official chart	6/5 7/5	PLACE WIN	Official chart
2:22 PM	Gulfstream Park	R5	If the pace stays honest (60%): #2 Sweet Agenda Counter-move (§16): #1 Authentic Wave Official chart	2/1 7/2	OUT WIN $8.40	Official chart
2:27 PM	Churchill Downs	R4	If the pace stays honest (60%): #2 Creole Chrome If the pace is controlled (40%): #4 Circle Tap ★ Official chart	8/5 3/1	PLACE SHOW	Official chart
2:34 PM	Woodbine	R4	If the pace is controlled (65%): #1 Sign the Papers Official chart	8/5	SHOW	Official chart
2:57 PM	Churchill Downs	R5	If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Prank At Dawn Official chart	5/2	WIN $8.18	Official chart
3:03 PM	Gulfstream Park	R6	If the pace stays honest (60%): #8 Steelin Bases Counter-move (§16): #4 Anamnestic Official chart	7/2 5/1	OUT OUT	Official chart
6:03 PM	Del Mar HOT	R6	If the pace is controlled (65%): #5 Himari Official chart	6/5	WIN $3.60	Official chart
3:19 PM	Laurel Park	R7	If the pace stays honest (60%): #6 Bet Me Official chart	8/5	OUT	Official chart
3:26 PM	Churchill Downs	R6	If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Mizzou Official chart	9/5	WIN $5.36	Official chart
3:34 PM	Woodbine	R6	If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Philip Banks Official chart	4/5	OUT	Official chart
3:43 PM	Belmont Park	R7	If the pace stays honest (60%): #5 Time to Win If the pace is controlled (40%): #4 Dreamlike ★ Official chart	4/5 5/2	SHOW WIN	Official chart
4:06 PM	Gulfstream Park	R8	If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Paris Surprise Counter-move (§16): #1 Poseidon's Law Official chart	4/1 9/2	OUT OUT	Official chart
4:14 PM	Belmont Park	R8	If the pace stays honest (55%): #4 Where's Your Boom If the pace is controlled (45%): #3 Sfumato ★ Official chart	9/5 3/1	PLACE WIN $7.16	Official chart
4:19 PM	Laurel Park	R9	If the pace stays honest (55%): #5 Weekend Storm If the pace is controlled (45%): #5 Weekend Storm Official chart	3/1 3/1	PLACE PLACE	Official chart
4:25 PM	Churchill Downs	R8	If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 White Tiger Official chart	7/2	PLACE	Official chart
4:55 PM	Churchill Downs	R9	If the pace stays honest (60%): #1 Sneaky Good Official chart	7/5	WIN $4.20	Official chart
5:10 PM	Gulfstream Park	R10	If the pace stays honest (55%): #3 Kokomo Kitty If the pace is controlled (45%): #8 Sovereign Gold ★ Official chart	2/1 5/2	PLACE WIN	Official chart
6:09 PM	Woodbine	R11	If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Silver Raleigh Official chart	3/1	OUT	Official chart
7:50 PM	Mountaineer	R3	If the pace stays honest (60%): #10 Dominant Caitlin Official chart	2/1	WIN $4.20	Official chart
8:15 PM	Mountaineer	R4	If the pace stays honest (60%): #6 Speaker's Lobby Official chart	2/1	OUT	Official chart
9:05 PM	Mountaineer	R6	If the pace stays honest (55%): #10 Poetic Amy If the pace is controlled (45%): #10 Poetic Amy Official chart	3/1 3/1	OUT OUT	Official chart
9:55 PM	Mountaineer	R8	If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Mr Hoover Official chart	2/1	SHOW	Official chart

★ = the pick was not the morning-line favorite.
The HOT badge marks the race shape our settled record wins most — controlled pace on top, a clear late-graph leader, no synthetic surface.
PEND — the pick was scratched in the official chart and no filed backup ran, so the play is a refund. It is not a result still missing.
When a pick is scratched and a filed backup ran, the leg settles on that backup — the pick that would have been filed had the scratches been known — and counts in the scorecard.
Counter-move legs (v2.9 §16) are extra $2 win legs filed in races with no strong favorite; they count in the scorecard and carry no scratch backup — a scratched counter leg is a refund.
Pace-price legs (v3.0 §19) are the race's headline pace pick at 2/1–7/2; standalone legs count in the scorecard and carry no scratch backup — a scratched pace-price leg is a refund. A PACE-PRICE tag on a pair or counter leg marks the same horse and is reported as a memo line only, never counted twice.
Payouts are the official $2 payoffs. Full race-by-race results with WIN/PLACE/SHOW banners: see the Results Archive.
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