THOROUGHWIZ
The Tip Sheet — Results
Every pick from the day's selections sheet, settled against the official results.
Monday, November 9, 2026 · 39 picks · All times ET
Page built November 10, 2026 · 12:48 AM ET — if this stamp looks old, refresh the page.
Place bets: 33 settled · $66 place bets → $54.26 · ROI -17.8%
Show bets: 33 settled · $66 show bets → $53.94 · ROI -18.3% — 1 in-the-money leg(s) had no show price in the official chart and count $0.
Consensus sheet races: 30 settled · 5 winners · W-P-S 5-11-2 · $60 win bets → $33.20 · WIN ROI -44.7% · PLACE ROI -13.1% · SHOW ROI -21.8% — the picks from the 27 races printed on the day's Consensus Sheet, scored separately; a subset of the scorecard above, not added to it.
Races settled: 29 of 29 — the two scenario picks still file, but the math settles ONE $2 win pick per race: the official pick. From the 2026-11-01 card the official pick is chosen by the margin rule (protocol v3.8 §23): of the two scenario horses, the one that stands clearest of the field on its own pace graph — slot 1 unless that margin puts the official pick on the second scenario's horse (earlier days filed no margin choice and settle on slot 1). If the official pick is scratched, the other scenario's pick is the first backup, then the official pick's filed alternate, then the other scenario's alternate (single-pick accounting, Douglas 2026-11-01; margin rule v3.8).
19 race(s) filed one pick only — the second scenario fell below the likelihood floor (v2.2); that pick is the official pick and its filed alternate is its backup.
Official picks: 29 settled · 5 winners · $58 win bets → $20.04 · ROI -65.4%
Winner was the official pick: 5 of 29 races.
Counter-move legs (v2.9 §16): 4 settled · 1 winners · $8 win bets → $16.40 · ROI +105.0% — counted in the scorecard above.
In the money: 21 of 33 pick legs (64%) finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd.
The 6 winners paid an average of $6.07 on a $2 win ticket.
Across the board: $2 win-place-show on every pick — $172 → $112.84 · ROI -34.4%. (1 pool stake(s) refunded — the chart printed no price for that pool.)
As filed (before scratches): 33 settled · 6 winners · $66 win bets → $36.44 · ROI -44.8%
★ BEST BET OF THE DAY
5:00 PM ET · Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8
5½ Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance 38000n1x
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (60%)
#9 Rank Randy 3/12ND · PLACE
Trainer: Randy L Klopp · Jockey: Fernando De La Cruz
Placed — paid $4.80 to place ($2). Won by #5 Q's Got Class
Rank Randy is the morning-line favorite with a named sheet edge — the blend's top probability (0.25) and a top early figure (early 100, late 62) in this 5½ Furlongs Dirt race (Allowance 38000n1x).
The price: 3/1 favorite — no non-favorite in the field qualified under the slot-1 deviation gate (blend margin plus a profile edge), so the favorite files under that fallback; the short price carries no hard-edge claim beyond its blend-top position.
IF THE PACE IS CONTROLLED (40%)
#7 Young Angus ★ 9/2OUT
Trainer: Randy Matthews · Jockey: Joseph C Bealmear
Won by #5 Q's Got Class — paid $8.20
Young Angus holds a named sheet edge — (c) late_proj >= 90 (late 83, early 36); under the second scenario the race is decided by that finish.
The price: 9/2 — priced behind the 3/1 favorite, and the sheet edge named in the why is its confirmation.
NEXT BEST
12:10 PM ET · Finger Lakes · Race 1
5½ Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance 27300b
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (60%)
#3 Banker's Jet 2/12ND · PLACE
Trainer: Jon G Arnett · Jockey: Andre S Worrie
Placed — paid $2.10 to place ($2). Won by #6 Guilty
Banker's Jet is the morning-line favorite with a named sheet edge — a clear-margin blended late-graph lead of 17 (late 92, profile (d)); also (a) leads both graphs in this 5½ Furlongs Dirt race (Allowance 27300b).
The price: 2/1 favorite over the 5/2 second choice — the line's top choice, with the sheet edge named in the why as its confirmation.
FEATURED PLAY
1:06 PM ET · Finger Lakes · Race 3
6 Furlongs · Dirt · TinCpChlc45K
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (60%)
#4 Silver Knight 2/1WIN
Trainer: Melanie Giddings · Jockey: Shaun Bridgmohan
Paid $3.24 to win ($2)
Silver Knight is the morning-line favorite with a named sheet edge — (e) draw edge from post 4 (index 1.253) (late 70, early 90) in this 6 Furlongs Dirt race (TinCpChlc45K).
The price: 2/1 favorite over the 5/2 second choice — the line's top choice, with the sheet edge named in the why as its confirmation.
IF THE PACE IS CONTROLLED (40%)
#5 Playinmindgames ★ 5/22ND · PLACE
Trainer: Michael S Ferraro · Jockey: Luis E Perez
Placed — paid $2.30 to place ($2). Won by #4 Silver Knight
Playinmindgames holds a named sheet edge — (a) leads both graphs (late 84, early 96); under the second scenario the race is decided by that finish. The field has no clear-margin qualifier, so the pick also rests on its raw late standing as the second edge.
The price: 5/2 — priced behind the 2/1 favorite, and the sheet edge named in the why is its confirmation.
The Cheat Sheet — Settled
| POST | TRACK | RACE | SELECTION | ML | RESULT | CHART |
|---|
| 12:05 PM | Parx | R1 | If the pace is controlled (60%): #4 South Street Sally ★ | 4/1 | SHOW | Official chart |
| 12:10 PM | Finger Lakes | R1 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Banker's Jet | 2/1 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 12:32 PM | Parx | R2 | If the pace stays honest (55%): #5 Burning Bridges If the pace stays honest (55%): #5 Burning Bridges | 2/1
2/1 | OUT
OUT | Official chart |
| 2:32 PM | Zia Park | R2 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Channel Launch | 2/1 | OUT | Official chart |
| 12:43 PM | Mahoning Valley HOT | R2 | If the pace is controlled (55%): #5 Chess Not Checkers If the pace stays honest (45%): #2 Canadian Bear ★ | 2/1
5/2 | PLACE
OUT | Official chart |
| 2:59 PM | Zia Park | R3 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #6 Awesome Road | 6/5 | WIN $2.10 | Official chart |
| 1:06 PM | Finger Lakes | R3 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Silver Knight If the pace is controlled (40%): #5 Playinmindgames ★ | 2/1
5/2 | WIN $3.24
PLACE | Official chart |
| 1:11 PM | Mahoning Valley | R3 | If the pace stays honest (55%): #6 Bukele If the pace is controlled (45%): #2 Hippy Gilmore ★ | 8/5
5/2 | PLACE
OUT | Official chart |
| 1:26 PM | Parx | R4 | If the pace is controlled (55%): #6 Aggregation If the pace stays honest (45%): #1 Modica ★ | 4/5
3/1 | WIN $4.20
PLACE | Official chart |
| 1:30 PM | Horseshoe Indianapolis | R1 | If the pace stays honest (55%): #1 Don't Look Back If the pace is pressured (45%): #4 Keen Ice Sight ★ | 9/5
2/1 | OUT
OUT | Official chart |
| 1:34 PM | Finger Lakes | R4 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #5 Action Seeker ★ | 3/1 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 1:53 PM | Parx | R5 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #1 Icecreamforevryone | 3/1 | SHOW | Official chart |
| 3:53 PM | Zia Park | R5 | If the pace is controlled (65%): #6 Ready to Storm Counter-move (§16): #8 Run for Kidder | 2/1
4/1 | WIN $6.60
PLACE | Official chart |
| 2:03 PM | Finger Lakes | R5 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #10 Renew the Blue | 7/2 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 2:07 PM | Mahoning Valley | R5 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #10 Beachglass | 3/1 | OUT | Official chart |
| 2:35 PM | Mahoning Valley | R6 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #6 Thanks Frank | 2/1 | OUT | Official chart |
| 4:47 PM | Zia Park | R7 | If the pace stays honest (55%): #3 Rocket Sanders If the pace is controlled (45%): #7 Aaron Who ★ | 8/5
3/1 | OUT
SHOW | Official chart |
| 3:00 PM | Horseshoe Indianapolis | R4 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #8 Rocksie Girl ★ | 3/1 | SHOW | Official chart |
| 3:01 PM | Finger Lakes | R7 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #8 My Bestie | 5/2 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 3:14 PM | Parx | R8 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #5 Wave Rider Counter-move (§16): #4 Party At Sam's | 3/1
5/1 | OUT
OUT | Official chart |
| 3:30 PM | Finger Lakes | R8 | If the pace stays honest (55%): #5 Alzero If the pace is controlled (45%): #8 Muscle Shoals ★ | 3/1
7/2 | PEND
WIN $3.90 | Official chart |
| 3:59 PM | Finger Lakes | R9 | If the pace is controlled (45%): #1 Prince of Truth ★ If the pace is controlled (45%): #1 Prince of Truth ★ | 7/2
7/2 | PLACE
PLACE | Official chart |
| 4:00 PM | Horseshoe Indianapolis | R6 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #11 Gimmeethreesteps | 5/2 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 5:00 PM | Horseshoe Indianapolis | R8 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #9 Rank Randy If the pace is controlled (40%): #7 Young Angus ★ | 3/1
9/2 | PLACE
OUT | Official chart |
| 7:50 PM | Mountaineer | R3 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #1 Bistineau Boo Bell | 2/1 | PLACE | Official chart |
| 8:15 PM | Mountaineer | R4 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #8 Nightwind | 2/1 | OUT | Official chart |
| 8:40 PM | Mountaineer | R5 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #2 Fregon | 4/1 | SHOW | Official chart |
| 9:30 PM | Mountaineer | R7 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Pasta Salad Rhonda Counter-move (§16): #6 Cloudy Bay | 2/1
5/1 | OUT
WIN $16.40 | Official chart |
| 9:55 PM | Mountaineer | R8 | If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Mischievous Juan Counter-move (§16): #2 Etretat | 2/1
5/1 | PLACE
OUT | Official chart |
The railbird line
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