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The Tip Sheet — Results

Every pick from the day's selections sheet, settled against the official results.
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 57 picks · All times ET
Page built November 14, 2026 · 12:49 AM ET — if this stamp looks old, refresh the page.
54
PICK LEGS SETTLED
19
WINNERS
19-11-5
WIN-PLACE-SHOW
$108
$2 WIN BETS
$93.16
RETURNED
-13.7%
WIN ROI
-13.0%
PLACE ROI
-20.5%
SHOW ROI
Place bets: 54 settled · $108 place bets → $93.98 · ROI -13.0%
Show bets: 54 settled · $108 show bets → $85.90 · ROI -20.5% — 1 in-the-money leg(s) had no show price in the official chart and count $0.
Consensus sheet races: 38 settled · 14 winners · W-P-S 14-7-3 · $76 win bets → $72.56 · WIN ROI -4.5% · PLACE ROI -12.0% · SHOW ROI -17.7% — the picks from the 47 races printed on the day's Consensus Sheet, scored separately; a subset of the scorecard above, not added to it.
Races settled: 50 of 51 — the two scenario picks still file, but the math settles ONE $2 win pick per race: the official pick. From the 2026-11-01 card the official pick is chosen by the margin rule (protocol v3.8 §23): of the two scenario horses, the one that stands clearest of the field on its own pace graph — slot 1 unless that margin puts the official pick on the second scenario's horse (earlier days filed no margin choice and settle on slot 1). If the official pick is scratched, the other scenario's pick is the first backup, then the official pick's filed alternate, then the other scenario's alternate (single-pick accounting, Douglas 2026-11-01; margin rule v3.8).
45 race(s) filed one pick only — the second scenario fell below the likelihood floor (v2.2); that pick is the official pick and its filed alternate is its backup.
Official picks: 50 settled · 19 winners · $100 win bets → $93.16 · ROI -6.8%
Backup chain: 2 official pick(s) were scratched and settled on the first backup that ran; 1 race(s) had every horse in the chain scratched and count no leg.
Winner was the official pick: 19 of 51 races.
Counter-move legs (v2.9 §16): 4 settled · 0 winners · $8 win bets → $0.00 · ROI -100.0% — counted in the scorecard above.
In the money: 35 of 54 pick legs (65%) finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd.
The 19 winners paid an average of $4.90 on a $2 win ticket.
Across the board: $2 win-place-show on every pick — $298 → $266.16 · ROI -10.7%. (1 pool stake(s) refunded — the chart printed no price for that pool.)
Scratches: 2 official pick(s) were scratched in the official chart. Those legs settle on the first backup in the chain that actually ran — the other scenario's pick first, then the official pick's filed alternate, then the other scenario's alternate — and the scorecard above counts them.
As filed (before scratches): 52 settled · 17 winners · $104 win bets → $83.16 · ROI -20.0%
★ BEST BET OF THE DAY
6:21 PM ET · Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10
1m70yds · Dirt · IndFutrtyB100K
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (60%)
#8 Kansascityjustice 2/12ND · PLACE
Trainer: Robert M Gorham · Jockey: Andres P Ulloa
Kansascityjustice is the morning-line favorite with a named sheet edge — a clear-margin blended late-graph lead of 26 (late 84, profile (d)); also (a) leads both graphs in this 1m70yds Dirt race (IndFutrtyB100K).
The price: 2/1 favorite over the 5/1 second choice — the line's top choice, with the sheet edge named in the why as its confirmation.
Official chart
NEXT BEST
5:49 PM ET · Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9
1m70yds · Dirt · MsIndianaB100K
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (60%)
#5 Prayer for Music 5/2WIN
Trainer: Terry Phillips · Jockey: Alexander Crispin
Prayer for Music is the morning-line favorite with a named sheet edge — a clear-margin blended late-graph lead of 21 (late 90, profile (d)); also (a) leads both graphs in this 1m70yds Dirt race (MsIndianaB100K).
The price: 5/2 favorite over the 9/2 second choice — the line's top choice, with the sheet edge named in the why as its confirmation.
Official chart
FEATURED PLAY
12:40 PM ET · Belmont Park · Race 1
6½ Furlongs · Dirt · Mdn 100k
IF THE PACE IS CONTROLLED (65%)
#4 Mysticious 9/52ND · PLACE
Trainer: Rodolphe Brisset · Jockey: Edgard J Zayas
Mysticious is the morning-line favorite with a named sheet edge — (a) leads both graphs (late 92, early 90) in this 6½ Furlongs Dirt race (Mdn 100k).
The price: 9/5 favorite over the 5/2 second choice — the line's top choice, with the sheet edge named in the why as its confirmation.
IF THE PACE STAYS HONEST (35%)
#1 Cornichiwa ★ 5/23RD · SHOW
Trainer: Chad C Brown · Jockey: Flavien Prat
Cornichiwa holds a named sheet edge — (c) late_proj >= 90 (late 88, early 70); under the second scenario the race is decided by that finish.
The price: 5/2 — priced behind the 9/5 favorite, and the sheet edge named in the why is its confirmation.
Official chart
The Cheat Sheet — Settled
POSTTRACKRACESELECTIONMLRESULTCHART
12:20 PMGulfstream ParkR1
If the pace is controlled (65%): #9 Cathedral Sun
Official chart
5/2OUTOfficial chart
3:30 PMDel MarR1
If the pace stays honest (60%): #6 Bold Type ★
Official chart
8/5PLACEOfficial chart
12:40 PMBelmont ParkR1
If the pace is controlled (65%): #4 Mysticious
If the pace stays honest (35%): #1 Cornichiwa ★
Official chart
9/5
5/2		PLACE
SHOW		Official chart
12:50 PMGulfstream ParkR2
If the pace stays honest (60%): #8 R Delray
Official chart
9/5WIN $3.60Official chart
1:00 PMChurchill DownsR1
If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Booray ★
Official chart
4/1PLACEOfficial chart
4:01 PMDel MarR2
If the pace stays honest (60%): #6 Tessuto (scratched — the whole backup chain scratched; no leg)
Official chart
7/5NO LEGOfficial chart
1:10 PMBelmont ParkR2
If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Royal Bobbie
Official chart
6/5WIN $3.12Official chart
1:22 PMGulfstream ParkR3
If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 R Nashvegas
Official chart
2/1SHOWOfficial chart
1:26 PMLaurel ParkR4
If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 No More Calls
Official chart
3/1PLACEOfficial chart
1:29 PMChurchill DownsR2
If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 April Fools
Official chart
9/2PLACEOfficial chart
1:30 PMHorseshoe IndianapolisR1
If the pace stays honest (60%): #2 Quaint
Official chart
5/2WIN $10.20Official chart
4:32 PMDel MarR3
If the pace is controlled (65%): #6 Ocean Club
Official chart
5/2OUTOfficial chart
1:33 PMWoodbineR2
If the pace is controlled (65%): #9 Joshua Strike
Official chart
5/2OUTOfficial chart
1:58 PMChurchill DownsR3
If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Pimlott
Official chart
8/5SHOWOfficial chart
2:00 PMGulfstream Park HOTR4
If the pace is controlled (65%): #3 Miss Magical
Official chart
7/5WIN $2.60Official chart
2:04 PMWoodbineR3
If the pace stays honest (55%): #3 King in Town
If the pace is controlled (45%): #1 Jack Sparrow ★
Official chart
5/2
3/1		WIN $5.60
OUT		Official chart
2:15 PMHorseshoe IndianapolisR2
If the pace stays honest (60%): #1 My Bossy Lady (promoted — filed pick #5 Campaign Promises scratched)
Official chart
5/1WIN $4.80Official chart
2:32 PMGulfstream ParkR5
If the pace collapses (60%): #4 Role Play ★
Official chart
7/2OUTOfficial chart
2:33 PMWoodbineR4
If the pace stays honest (55%): #1 Indian Peak
If the pace is controlled (45%): #10 Forest Buzz ★
Official chart
8/5
7/2		SHOW
WIN $8.60		Official chart
2:41 PMBelmont ParkR5
If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Southside Samurai
Official chart
5/2OUTOfficial chart
2:57 PMChurchill DownsR5
If the pace is controlled (65%): #5 Queens Ambition
Official chart
7/2WIN $6.10Official chart
3:04 PMGulfstream ParkR6
If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Khozan Ostra
Official chart
2/1WIN $4.00Official chart
6:05 PMDel MarR6
If the pace collapses (60%): #1 He's Got Fire
Official chart
5/2WIN $5.00Official chart
3:12 PMBelmont ParkR6
If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Sea Vista
Official chart
3/1OUTOfficial chart
3:20 PMLaurel ParkR8
If the pace collapses (60%): #8 Do It for Michael (promoted — filed pick #1 Cybertime scratched)
Official chart
3/1WIN $5.20Official chart
3:26 PMChurchill DownsR6
If the pace stays honest (60%): #9 Lil Muggs
Official chart
3/1PLACEOfficial chart
3:34 PMWoodbineR6
If the pace stays honest (55%): #9 Can't Jump
If the pace is controlled (45%): #12 Encore Mo ★
Official chart
3/1
7/2		OUT
OUT		Official chart
6:35 PMDel MarR7
If the pace collapses (60%): #3 Piper's Causeway ★
Official chart
5/1OUTOfficial chart
3:36 PMGulfstream ParkR7
If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Happy Ride
Official chart
2/1SHOWOfficial chart
3:51 PMLaurel ParkR9
If the pace stays honest (60%): #2 Worcester ★
Official chart
5/2SHOWOfficial chart
4:05 PMWoodbineR7
If the pace stays honest (60%): #5 Connor ★
Counter-move (§16): #6 Mohaymen Diamond
Official chart
3/1
4/1		OUT
OUT		Official chart
4:19 PMHorseshoe IndianapolisR6
If the pace is controlled (45%): #2 Sami Michal
If the pace is controlled (45%): #2 Sami Michal
Official chart
3/1
3/1		OUT
OUT		Official chart
4:25 PMChurchill DownsR8
If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Frontline Fury ★
Official chart
7/2OUTOfficial chart
5:40 PMDelta DownsR1
If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Rosie Spoonbill
Official chart
2/1PLACEOfficial chart
4:55 PMChurchill DownsR9
If the pace stays honest (55%): #4 Camp Hale
If the pace is controlled (45%): #7 Firmus ★
Counter-move (§16): #2 Map to the Stars
Official chart
5/2
7/2
4/1		WIN $4.44
OUT
PLACE		Official chart
6:08 PMDelta DownsR2
If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Mingling Mo
Official chart
5/2WIN $5.40Official chart
5:18 PMHorseshoe IndianapolisR8
If the pace is controlled (65%): #7 Whitey Lange
Official chart
5/2OUTOfficial chart
6:36 PMDelta DownsR3
If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Stormin' Starfist
Official chart
5/2OUTOfficial chart
5:45 PMPenn NationalR1
If the pace collapses (60%): #1 Black Fly
Official chart
9/5OUTOfficial chart
5:49 PMHorseshoe IndianapolisR9
If the pace stays honest (60%): #5 Prayer for Music
Official chart
5/2WIN $3.60Official chart
5:55 PMChurchill DownsR11
If the pace stays honest (60%): #3 Alabama Getaway ★
Official chart
3/1PLACEOfficial chart
7:04 PMDelta DownsR4
If the pace stays honest (60%): #7 Sounds Like Power
Official chart
9/5WIN $8.00Official chart
6:21 PMHorseshoe IndianapolisR10
If the pace stays honest (60%): #8 Kansascityjustice
Official chart
2/1PLACEOfficial chart
7:30 PMRemington ParkR1
If the pace collapses (60%): #7 Algebra
Counter-move (§16): #4 Grapnel
Official chart
5/2
4/1		OUT
OUT		Official chart
6:43 PMPenn NationalR3
If the pace stays honest (60%): #4 Gypsy Dream
Official chart
5/2WIN $2.80Official chart
7:58 PMRemington ParkR2
If the pace is controlled (65%): #6 C W Miss
Official chart
2/5WIN $2.10Official chart
8:00 PMDelta DownsR6
If the pace collapses (60%): #1 Yuma's Shadow
Official chart
2/1PLACEOfficial chart
8:28 PMDelta DownsR7
If the pace stays honest (60%): #2 Charco
Counter-move (§16): #1 Holy Stick
Official chart
5/2
4/1		WIN $4.40
OUT		Official chart
8:56 PMDelta DownsR8
If the pace stays honest (60%): #6 Jojo Bean
Official chart
2/1PLACEOfficial chart
9:24 PMDelta DownsR9
If the pace collapses (60%): #9 Vekowin
Official chart
3/1WIN $3.60Official chart
9:32 PMCharles TownR6
If the pace stays honest (60%): #5 Play It Loud ★
Official chart
7/2OUTOfficial chart
★ = the pick was not the morning-line favorite.
The HOT badge marks the race shape our settled record wins most — controlled pace on top, a clear late-graph leader, no synthetic surface.
PEND — the pick was scratched in the official chart and no filed backup ran, so the play is a refund. It is not a result still missing.
When a pick is scratched and a filed backup ran, the leg settles on that backup — the pick that would have been filed had the scratches been known — and counts in the scorecard.
Counter-move legs (v2.9 §16) are extra $2 win legs filed in races with no strong favorite; they count in the scorecard and carry no scratch backup — a scratched counter leg is a refund.
Pace-price legs (v3.0 §19) are the race's headline pace pick at 2/1–7/2; standalone legs count in the scorecard and carry no scratch backup — a scratched pace-price leg is a refund. A PACE-PRICE tag on a pair or counter leg marks the same horse and is reported as a memo line only, never counted twice.
Payouts are the official $2 payoffs. Full race-by-race results with WIN/PLACE/SHOW banners: see the Results Archive.
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