Saturday, November 14, 2026 · settled against the official Equibase charts · the consensus four as displayed under the scratch-backfill rule
Races final: 40 of 46
Winner in the consensus four: 26 of 40 (65.0%) · by rank — #1: 11 · #2: 6 · #3: 8 · #4: 1
Selection (consensus leader): 11 wins · $2 win book $80.00 staked → $51.86 returned · ROI -35.2%
$2 on each of the four: $320.00 staked → $196.96 returned · ROI -38.4%
Payoff gaps: 0 (a final race with no published winner payoff counts $0 returned)
Belmont Park — Race 212:10 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: outside the four · $2 win paid $10.94
1#1Hammerhead SELECTION22 pts—
2#5Ciao Chuck14 pts3rd · $3.82
3#4Funny Factor11 pts—
4#7Rachael's Wagon0 pts—
Gulfstream Park — Race 112:20 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #1 · $2 win paid $5.00
1#7Miss Silipo SELECTION21 pts1st · $5.00
2#6Decisive Maiara5 pts—
3#5Our Perfect Amanda4 pts2nd · $3.00
4#4I'm Chill3 pts—
Laurel Park — Race 212:28 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: outside the four · $2 win paid $21.60
1#2Hurry Hurry SELECTION11 pts—
2#7Real Macho13 pts—
3#4Secret Zipper6 pts2nd · $8.20
4#1Majestic Blue4 pts—
Churchill Downs — Race 11:00 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #2 · $2 win paid $5.20
1#2Special Caliber SELECTION15 pts—
2#3Spirit of a Walkon13 pts1st · $5.20
3#4You Ain't Poppn11 pts—
4#1Max Money3 pts—
Woodbine — Race 11:05 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: outside the four · $2 win paid $29.90
1#4Afleet Flatter SELECTION13 pts2nd · $2.80
2#5Tuned Out11 pts—
3#1Whiskey Over Wine10 pts3rd · $3.10
4#6Winning Agenda9 pts—
Belmont Park — Race 41:10 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #3 · $2 win paid $16.44
1#7Tiger Twenty Four SELECTION18 pts—
2#5War Stride13 pts—
3#1Uncle Jim3 pts1st · $16.44
4#2Seeker's Hope2 pts3rd · $7.58
Woodbine — Race 21:33 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #3 · $2 win paid $16.90
1#1Gelato SELECTION15 pts3rd · $2.60
2#8Fog d'Oro11 pts—
3#2Night Striker11 pts1st · $16.90
4#6Metro King0 pts2nd · $8.10
Churchill Downs — Race 31:58 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #1 · $2 win paid $4.20
1#4Echo Sound SELECTION20 pts1st · $4.20
2#1Mystic Lake11 pts—
3#6Justinqueso11 pts2nd · $3.10
4#5Indy Bay10 pts3rd · $2.56
Belmont Park — Race 62:10 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #3 · $2 win paid $10.88
1#6Bosun SELECTION10 pts2nd · $4.68
2#10Final Verdict7 pts—
3#12Mission Improbable6 pts1st · $10.88
4#2Flat to Da Mat2 pts—
Laurel Park — Race 62:23 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #1 · $2 win paid $7.80
1#5World On Fire SELECTION10 pts1st · $7.80
2#4Jessica's Eyes9 pts—
3#6Brightshininglight7 pts2nd · $5.00
4#9Daring Venture4 pts—
Churchill Downs — Race 42:28 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #1 · $2 win paid $4.78
1#4Kerness K SELECTION15 pts1st · $4.78
2#9Raymond8 pts—
3#1Swirvin7 pts—
4#6Dontbesoogrouchy0 pts—
Woodbine — Race 42:35 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #3 · $2 win paid $8.30
1#2Out N Out Disgrace SELECTION16 pts—
2#1Dissectologist12 pts2nd · $4.30
3#8Malibu Mambo7 pts1st · $8.30
4#6Moon Landing6 pts3rd · $3.70
Belmont Park — Race 72:41 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #1 · $2 win paid $5.48
1#9Vekomancer SELECTION18 pts1st · $5.48
2#4Heavenly Light5 pts2nd · $3.46
3#8Miss Lao5 pts3rd · $3.94
4#5Princess Becca1 pts—
Gulfstream Park — Race 62:47 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #1 · $2 win paid $6.80
1#2Alinao Forever SELECTION18 pts1st · $6.80
2#3Dream Dancer17 pts2nd · $3.00
3#5Noble Sky12 pts—
4#6Operatnthunderbolt2 pts—
Laurel Park — Race 72:53 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #1 · $2 win paid $3.60
1#2Frustrated SELECTION24 pts1st · $3.60
2#5Winning Trip16 pts—
3#3Surgical Precision3 pts2nd · $4.20
4#8Channel the Music0 pts—
Churchill Downs — Race 52:57 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #4 · $2 win paid $9.66
1#5Nerazurri SELECTION11 pts—
2#1Smiling Ellie9 pts—
3#3Notable Exchange6 pts2nd · $7.44
4#8Goats On a Tree0 pts1st · $9.66
Woodbine — Race 53:05 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: outside the four · $2 win paid $17.00
1#2Smoked SELECTION14 pts2nd · $7.20
2#3Celebrity Ro12 pts—
3#5Executive Success6 pts—
4#6Chromeplated Heart6 pts—
Belmont Park — Race 83:12 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: outside the four · $2 win paid $13.90
1#2More Champagne SELECTION13 pts—
2#6Reza11 pts—
3#5Titan Ready10 pts—
4#1Just Joe0 pts—
Churchill Downs — Race 63:26 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: outside the four · $2 win paid $160.46
1#5Coquito SELECTION22 pts2nd · $3.20
2#8No Other Like You9 pts3rd · $2.90
3#7Mad About Marie4 pts—
4#9Argan2 pts—
Gulfstream Park — Race 83:48 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #1 · $2 win paid $3.80
1#3Great Venezuela SELECTION25 pts1st · $3.80
2#7Vindicate Cha Cha5 pts3rd · $2.40
3#4Duboff4 pts—
4#6Fantastic Flame MOVES UP— pts—
Scratched from the consensus four: #1 Tiffany Gold — #6 Fantastic Flame move up in consensus order.
Laurel Park — Race 93:52 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: outside the four · $2 win paid $64.80
1#8Waveless SELECTION18 pts—
2#3Amalfi Drive7 pts—
3#4Dazzling Move6 pts—
4#6Aeolian4 pts2nd · $7.40
Del Mar — Race 24:02 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #3 · $2 win paid $9.60
1#1Irish Corn SELECTION14 pts—
2#5Code Duello13 pts—
3#6Harcyn6 pts1st · $9.60
4#2Smart Code2 pts—
Belmont Park — Race 104:14 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #2 · $2 win paid $9.62
1#9Playa Del Mar SELECTION15 pts—
2#3Filoso8 pts1st · $9.62
3#12Sidearm7 pts—
4#2First Mover1 pts—
Gulfstream Park — Race 94:18 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #3 · $2 win paid $8.00
1#6Practically Dark SELECTION22 pts2nd · $3.60
2#3Roar of the Beast10 pts—
3#5Jalapeno8 pts1st · $8.00
4#4Irish Adieu0 pts3rd · $4.80
Churchill Downs — Race 84:25 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #2 · $2 win paid $8.12
1#3Talkin in Cursive SELECTION14 pts2nd · $3.28
2#5Miracle Ball13 pts1st · $8.12
3#2Charlee Mae0 pts—
4#4Progeny MOVES UP— pts3rd · $3.34
Scratched from the consensus four: #7 Lady Annabelle — #4 Progeny move up in consensus order.
Del Mar — Race 34:32 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #1 · $2 win paid $2.60
1#1Holmby SELECTION24 pts1st · $2.60
2#3Sea's No Joke10 pts2nd · $2.80
3#5Mo Chuisle7 pts—
4#2Vino Vino Vino2 pts—
Gulfstream Park — Race 104:47 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #2 · $2 win paid $3.40
1#7Classic Genes SELECTION11 pts—
2#5Lady of City13 pts1st · $3.40
3#8Hot Rod Honey7 pts3rd · $3.40
4#1Scottish Lass5 pts—
Churchill Downs — Race 94:55 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #2 · $2 win paid $5.98
1#12Initialize SELECTION10 pts—
2#2Shape Note4 pts1st · $5.98
3#9Cinister Cix1 pts—
4#11Proprietary Trade1 pts—
Del Mar — Race 45:02 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #3 · $2 win paid $6.80
1#4Hankering SELECTION17 pts—
2#9Danzing Wild Cat11 pts3rd · $3.40
3#3Battle School9 pts1st · $6.80
4#5Amador2 pts—
Woodbine — Race 95:10 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #2 · $2 win paid $14.30
1#7Piper's Gift SELECTION10 pts3rd · $3.00
2#3Meilani11 pts1st · $14.30
3#4Charmingly Evasive9 pts—
4#8Z Z's4 pts—
Gulfstream Park — Race 115:17 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: outside the four · $2 win paid $7.00
1#11Degree of Risk SELECTION24 pts2nd · $3.00
2#1Saratoga Flash11 pts3rd · $3.20
3#2Lights of Broadway5 pts—
4#6Dimanche Gras2 pts—
Churchill Downs — Race 105:25 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #3 · $2 win paid $11.90
1#3Five o' Somewhere SELECTION18 pts—
2#14Defending Albert14 pts—
3#8Air of Defiance14 pts1st · $11.90
4#1Military Road2 pts—
Woodbine — Race 105:42 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: outside the four · $2 win paid $20.80
1#5Victory Achieved SELECTION16 pts3rd · $2.80
2#3My Boy Prince14 pts—
3#4Nobals8 pts—
4#2Arbiter4 pts2nd · $7.00
Churchill Downs — Race 115:54 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: outside the four · $2 win paid $17.18
1#1Expect the Best SELECTION15 pts2nd · $3.48
2#7Indy Charges On14 pts—
3#3Papa Yo13 pts—
4#5Carolo Rapido0 pts—
Delta Downs — Race 26:08 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: outside the four · $2 win paid $22.80
1#5Tensas Lu Lu SELECTION15 pts2nd · $3.40
2#2Honor His Half12 pts—
3#7Wannawholelottaluv8 pts—
4#1My Vision8 pts—
Churchill Downs — Race 126:23 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: outside the four · $2 win paid $71.54
1#5McCullough SELECTION15 pts—
2#7Westside Tide8 pts—
3#2Unit Economics5 pts—
4#12Funny Uncle2 pts—
Del Mar — Race 76:33 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: outside the four · $2 win paid $11.00
1#1Trump Era SELECTION22 pts2nd · $3.20
2#3Moonlit Sonata12 pts3rd · $3.00
3#2Back Nine Stakes12 pts—
4#4Rostovsky3 pts—
Charles Town — Race 17:00 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #1 · $2 win paid $3.80
1#5Robbielikeshim SELECTION22 pts1st · $3.80
2#7Ridiculous3 pts—
3#2Gabriel Seven2 pts—
4#4Piccolo Diavolo1 pts2nd · $7.60
Delta Downs — Race 47:04 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: consensus #1 · $2 win paid $4.00
1#4Bearcat SELECTION19 pts1st · $4.00
2#9Eternal Mischief7 pts—
3#3Take the Hint7 pts3rd · $2.60
4#1Valdina Dreams6 pts2nd · $11.40
Charles Town — Race 27:32 PM ET · NO RESULT POSTED
Not final yet
1#7Judy G SELECTION10 pts—
2#12Adoncia9 pts—
3#8Sister T9 pts—
4#1Kelsey Hill Girl7 pts—
Delta Downs — Race 57:32 PM ET · FINAL
Winner: outside the four · $2 win paid $54.80
1#8Easy Like Breezy SELECTION15 pts3rd · $2.60
2#1Cutting Class7 pts—
3#9Ambiguous3 pts—
4#2Grey Street0 pts—
Del Mar — Race 97:33 PM ET · NO RESULT POSTED
Not final yet
1#3The Max Factor SELECTION16 pts—
2#1Royal Rumor7 pts—
3#2Soul Force4 pts—
4#4Mickey0 pts—
Remington Park — Race 27:58 PM ET · NO RESULT POSTED
Not final yet
1#1Lake Bee SELECTION30 pts—
2#8Norway Beach7 pts—
3#2Buckin Again6 pts—
4#6Yougotthisjr4 pts—
Remington Park — Race 38:26 PM ET · NO RESULT POSTED
Not final yet
1#7Glory O SELECTION15 pts—
2#6Princess Kaiulani7 pts—
3#1Shelley's Money6 pts—
4#4Callitfateluckarma1 pts—
Remington Park — Race 59:22 PM ET · NO RESULT POSTED
Not final yet
1#3Bint Al Dandy SELECTION14 pts—
2#8Divine Wind8 pts—
3#4Itty Bitty Baby8 pts—
4#5Secret Vintage7 pts—
Remington Park — Race 710:18 PM ET · NO RESULT POSTED
Not final yet
1#7From Scratch SELECTION13 pts—
2#2Private Debbie9 pts—
3#1Kiss My Dice7 pts—
4#5Penny Powers0 pts—
The day's book — every pick on the card
As filed (before scratches): 52 settled · 15 winners · $104 win bets → $73.10 · ROI -29.7%
Headline: 52 legs · 15 winners · W-P-S 15-13-7 · $104 win bets → $73.10 · WIN ROI -29.7%
Place bets: 52 settled · $104 place bets → $92.78 · ROI -10.8% — 1 in-the-money leg(s) had no place price in the official chart and count $0.
Show bets: 52 settled · $104 show bets → $95.00 · ROI -8.7% — 1 in-the-money leg(s) had no show price in the official chart and count $0.
Official picks: 41 settled · 13 winners · W-P-S 13-12-6 · $82 win bets → $58.30 · ROI -28.9%
Counter-move legs (§16): 11 settled · 2 winners · W-P-S 2-1-1 · $22 win bets → $14.80 · ROI -32.7%
Winner was the official pick: 13 of 41
Consensus sheet races: 42 settled · 12 winners · W-P-S 12-9-5 · $84 win bets → $58.86 · WIN ROI -29.9% · PLACE ROI -14.0% · SHOW ROI -12.3% — the picks from the 46 races printed on the day's Consensus Sheet, scored separately; a subset of the headline book above, not added to it.
In the money: 35 of 52 pick legs (67%) finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd.
The 15 winners paid an average of $4.87 on a $2 win ticket.
Across the board: $2 win-place-show on every pick — $242 → $222.98 · ROI -7.9%. (2 pool stake(s) refunded — the chart printed no price for that pool.)
On the page — perfect-selection settlement
Had you picked the right horses from the four on this page every time:
In the four: winner in 27 of 37 (73.0%) · place horse in 26 · show horse in 19 · exacta in 17 · trifecta in 6 · superfecta in 0
In the four money ($2 in → returned): win $54.00 → $189.96 · exacta $34.00 → $556.74 · trifecta $12.00 → $1,263.14 · superfecta $0.00 → $0.00 · combined $100.00 → $2,009.84 (return 2009.8% · ROI +1909.8%)
On the page: winner in 33 of 37 (89.2%) · place horse in 34 · show horse in 33 · exacta in 30 · trifecta in 27 · superfecta in 19
On the page money ($2 in → returned): win $66.00 → $527.02 · exacta $60.00 → $3,023.66 · trifecta $54.00 → $15,044.38 · superfecta $38.00 → $73,757.90 · combined $218.00 → $92,352.96 (return 42363.7% · ROI +42263.7%)
Perfect-selection ceiling — assumes the right choice from the page every time.
The railbird line
Loading the talk…